Trump to End (Iran) Civilization? It May Be the West’s!
COUNTERPOINT TO THE ABOVE :
Saudi
Arabia has not formed a trilateral "Middle East NATO" with Turkey and
Pakistan. Despite
earlier speculation and advanced talks in early 2026, Saudi officials
officially confirmed that Turkey will not join the defense pact, stating
the agreement with Pakistan will remain a bilateral arrangement
to preserve economic ties with India and avoid disrupting the US-Israel
strategic axis.
While Saudi
Arabia and Pakistan signed a Strategic Mutual Defence Agreement in September
2025 that includes a collective defense clause, no formal
trilateral "Islamic NATO" was established, and the inclusion of
Turkey was rejected.
China's
involvement is limited to military technology and economic partnerships rather
than a formal defense alliance. Reports indicate Saudi Arabia is considering
purchasing Chinese-Pakistani JF-17 fighter jets and
collaborating on missile systems, but the search context clarifies that
the defense pact itself does not include China as a formal member and
remains distinct from a NATO-style structure.
- The "Islamic NATO"
concept was
driven by speculation that Turkey, Saudi Arabia, and Pakistan would form a
"triangle of power" combining financial resources, nuclear
capabilities, and industrial manufacturing.
- Turkey's interest in joining was motivated
by fears of being encircled by a Greece-Cyprus-Israel axis and a desire to
leverage Saudi financial power and Pakistan's nuclear umbrella.
- China's role involves supplying arms (81% of Pakistan's imports) and potentially facilitating technology transfers, but Riyadh has explicitly kept the defense pact bilateral to maintain strategic flexibility.
The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps said if the US crossed red lines, Tehran’s response would be “beyond the region” and that oil and gas supplies to the US and partners would be disrupted for years to come. Our computer models show that Trump is NOT going to end the Persian Civilization.
We see that their threat to disrupt energy for years to come should not be taken lightly. We showed a Panic Cycle this week in Natural Gas for this week since March and this will extend into next week. Crude oil will indeed be disrupted and this appears to be escalating into the end of April.
“Let us wait twenty minutes; when the enemy is making a false movement we must take good care not to interrupt him.” That is attributed to Napoleon from the 1805 Battle of Austerlitz.
That has become over time: Never interrupt your enemy when he’s making a mistake. If I were Russia and China, I would hope Trump carries out his threat and I would assist Iran in bringing down Asia and the West to their knees cutting off all energy.
That would leave both Europe and Asia vulnerable where they could even be conquered. Our computer is showing sharp rise in volatility in China this week and we have an important shift in global trend next week. We will address these issues in upcoming Private Blog Posts.

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