What can we say about the impact of Muslim demographics on Europe?

American Thinker 

No matter what European politicians may say to downplay the negative impact of Moslem immigration, they cannot deny that the continent will experience an unprecedented demographic shift by the end of the century. If the current rate of Muslim immigration continues, Europe’s Muslim population could grow from 30 million today to about 110 million by 2100. This estimate assumes that the Muslim fertility rate will move downward over that period to approach native fertility rates, a dubious assumption in my opinion (see chart below).

To put this in perspective, that means that 25% of Europe’s population will consist of Muslims by 2100 (see chart below).

(Pew Research has their own similar predictions here.)

Current European politicians, believing that immigration is good in any form and at any scale, prefer to ignore any problems with it. However, the demographic shift has a sinister political dimension if the popularity of a fundamentalist brand of Islam continues to rise amongst this growing segment of the population. Europe may be in store for sectarian conflict on a scale that would dwarf the sectarian troubles of Northern Ireland and Lebanon in the 1970s that captured so much attention in the media. The level of sectarian strife may approach what Europe experienced during the religious wars of the 16th century.

Multicultural experiments are fragile by nature. With weak assimilating forces, migrants tend to remain as separate communities; a mosaic rather than a melting pot emerges. Group identity plays a greater role in politics with opportunists claiming to speak for the group acquiring a disproportionate voice. Ultimately, these opportunists see fomenting sectarian and racial division as their avenue to political prominence.

I would not even rule out the prospect of another mass migration of Europeans to the U.S. as the situation becomes intolerable for many. Douglas Murray may be the first in a new wave of immigrants that are fleeing Europe for freedom from religious intolerance.