Cutting Through the Fog and Conflict Within Current U.S. Republican Politics
Prior to the 2012 Republican presidential primary, many conservative Americans -including myself- were confused by the consistent illusion of choice offered in Republican presidential candidates. The Republican Party’s successful installation of Mitt Romney was the final straw.
Going into the 2016 Republican presidential primary, we became more attune to how the illusion of choice is created. By closely following the Republican Party’s assemblies, tracking the participants, researching the networks and looking at how the Republican Party professionals modified their election rules at a state level, revealed the closed system used to create the illusion of choice.
The GOP winter meeting in Washington DC, December of 2014, outlined the playbook. The sequencing of state elections, the distribution of delegates (proportional or winner-take-all) and various internal mechanisms all play a part. This led to our first breakthrough – we began to understand the “splitter strategy”.
A small group of internal party officers, in combination with powerful established politicians and major donors, could coordinate a party objective to support the “acceptable candidate.”
The outcome of the GOP 2014 winter meeting was a pathway for Jeb Bush in 2016. The outcome of the DNC construct was a pathway for Hillary Clinton. Regardless of which wing of the UniParty system won the election, the actionable outcome in policy would be the same – the institutions of DC maintained, and network affluence apportioned according to the victor.
In this form of party democracy, voting is an outcome of the illusion of choice. The real decisions were/are not being made by voters. The party system determines the candidate. DNC or RNC the policy outcome is a few degrees different, but the direction is the same.
In 2016, the left-wing of the Uniparty would diminish any challenger to Hillary, Bernie Sanders would be controlled. The right-wing of the Uniparty would diminish any challenger to Jeb, divide the voting base and use party rules to clear his path.
The opaque nature of this party control system became clearer when the last GOP candidate entered the race. In the clearest exhibition of controlled politics in modern history, Donald Trump was the wildcard.
Mainstream “conservative” voices, what a later vernacular would describe as “influencers,” began exposing their ideological special interest in this political control system through opposition to Trump, the popular people’s choice candidate.
You know the history thereafter. However, the problem for the GOP wing in 2016 was not Donald Trump per se’, their biggest problem was that American ‘conservatives‘ had discovered their playbook. The illusion of choice was now becoming very well understood by a subset of voters later named MAGA voters, the original “silent majority” was silent no more.
This review is simply context; however, it is important context if we are to understand exactly where we are in late 2025 going into the midterm election in 2026. [Star Wars (2016), the Empire Strikes Back (2020), the Return of the Jedi (2024)]
The fourth chapter of this conflict is now upon us. It is a battlefield that has been unfolding all year.
When you understand the larger objectives behind what is happening, you can clearly see -even predict- each of the moves.
The MAGA momentum coming out of the November 2024 election and going into 2025 was significant.
The Big Club would need to react early and strategically if they were to block MAGA from taking full control of the Republican Party.
Division is a key component of their plan.
Divisive definitions, i.e. “what is conservative“, is the current phase in this larger objective to divide the base of MAGA support. However, the dividing was predicated; it didn’t begin with that question.
The dividing began, as all dividing begins, by using a much more controversial wedge issue: Do you support the govt of Israel, or are you an antisemite?
This sudden debate over supporting the policies of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu did not surface organically in early 2025. It was planned, and then stimulated as a wedge issue to divide the MAGA movement and begin a larger process to restore the Big Club control of Republican politics.
♦ You Can’t be ‘MAGA’ If You’re Anti-Israel ~ Benjamin Netanyahu
According to those inside America who are pushing the division: if you do not support the policies of Netanyahu, you are an antisemite, a hater of Israel. This wedge issue, when coupled with the three-stage Alinsky tactic to isolate, ridicule and marginalize, can be used effectively to shrink the ‘Big Tent’ and restore the Big Club.
[SOURCE]
The important element is how the toxic outcome -the division- benefits the traditional Republicans, the traditional Republican Party control officers, the traditional party “conservatives”. Put another way, division – regardless of how it is achieved, returns the party to the people who control the illusion of choice.
Instead of the Bush machine, Sea Island group or the Traditional GOP confronting MAGA directly, those same operatives simply use the wedge issue of Israel to say, ‘you’re either with us or against us‘.
We have been watching this unfold all year.
♦ Qatar vs Israel: This narrative was the approach that caught me off guard earlier in the year. Why was this narrative being pushed so early, even in January before the inauguration?
At first, I thought it was just special interest jealousy; positioning to be the biggest voice of influence. However, as the year went on and the accusations of antisemitism exploded, I realized the originating Qatar vs Israel narrative seeded the later year outcome.
Keep in mind, from a CTH perspective “Qatar” has always represented the interests of the U.S. intelligence agencies (State Dept and CIA); it still does. [CTH is banned in Qatar] Nothing about that has changed. What changed is the administration. The CIA, or what you might consider Qatar under Biden, is different than the CIA, or what you might consider Qatar under Trump. Qatar, like a chameleon, modifies its position(s) to the interests of the administration.
Qatar is now the narrative proxy representing JD Vance. Israel is now the narrative proxy representing Ron DeSantis
♦ MAIN POINT #1: It is entirely possible to support the State of Israel and still be critical of the politics of the current Netanyahu administration. However, in order to create a useful wedge, such distinctions must be diminished in order to sharpen the tip of the wedge. The theme of “Israel first” is used by both sides of the grinding wheel in order to sharpen it.
Terms such as “woke right“, the labels of “antisemite“, or “pro-Islam” or “Israel first“, and all of the iterations therein, become dangerous and intentional political labels. ‘Choose a side’ they proclaim.
Who benefits? The Big REPUBLICAN Club.
♦ Turning Point USA: This narrative is a little more direct and easier to understand. A big part of the MAGA win in 2024 was due to the youth movement. The Big Club needs to manage that crowd if they are going to return to control. TPUSA represents a significant political ground game for any candidate. With thousands of chapters, Christian values and high energy, Turning Point can be a formidable Get Out the Vote (GOTV) operation.
Injecting the Israel support -vs- antisemite wedge into TPUSA is intended to diminish their influence, internally divide their membership and weaken the capability of the organization to deliver influence in the 2028 election. Ben Shapiro et al versus Tucker Carlson et al. Again, we see Alinsky methods deployed by the Big Club.
TPUSA is now the proxy representing JD Vance. Labeling TPUSA as an antisemitic group supports the objectives of the Big Club and Ron DeSantis. [NOTE: This operation will continue]
♦ BIG TECH – There is no industry better representative of the UniParty apparatus than the colloquially called “technocrats.”
Regardless of which wing of the DC UniParty apparatus wins the 2028 influence game, the big tech consortium considers themselves a governing entity on a scale bigger than the U.S. government itself.
Within the big tech group there are factions of interest.
Larry Ellison (Oracle, TikTok) and his son, David Ellison (Paramount, CBS), are currently making a move to secure Warner Bros/CNN. Ellison has previously secured CBS influence with the installation of Bari Weiss.
The Ellisons will influence the 2028 GOP in support of Ron DeSantis across their platforms (remember, in the ’24 primary 60 billionaires supported the Florida governor). The agenda of the original 2016 anti-Trump Sea Island assembly has never changed.
On the alternative tech side, Peter Thiel, and a smaller group of billionaire tech industrialists, are aligned to support JD Vance. Inside the current White House, this group has Crypto/AI Czar David Sacks assisting with policy decisions. A smaller financial footprint, albeit more strategically placed.
Within the nuance of the Artificial Intelligence (AI) race, essentially a race to see which institutional platforms and players will control the larger AI deployment and database centers, you will note the operational use of Ron DeSantis has begun {GO DEEP}. However, just to reassert the baseline, big tech as an industry is positioned to win with any candidate.
♦ MIDTERM 2026 – This dynamic is the easiest to predict. The MAGA big tent is the threat to the Big Club control. Going forward to the place where the future of the Republican Party will be determined, strategy requires MAGA to suffer losses. The interparty division now waging war has interim benefits for the Sea Island/Big Club group in the goal of losing the 2026 midterm election.
Again, a key point to the 2026 midterms is to remember the battle is internal first. The Big Club Republicans need a midterm loss in order to advance beyond President Trump’s control over the party. If President Trump were to expand the MAGA support base within the republican ranks, the old guard loses position. Traditional Republicans want a midterm loss.
If President Trump loses the 2026 midterms, the position of JD Vance’s brand of conservatism is weakened. While the value of Ron DeSantis brand of conservatism, supported by the old guard, increases.
♦ VOICES: I am intentionally leaving out the name Marco Rubio from this discussion; in part, because he has already said numerous times that if JD Vance runs in 2028, Rubio will support him. Also, because the 2025 Rubio is a completely different entity than the 2010 to 2024 version.
That said, if you accept the larger dynamic as outlined, and if you overlay the known affiliations, you will quickly begin to see exactly what is taking place.
Mike Pence, the archetype acceptable Republican is reactivated, not to win, but to assist with an evangelical divide. Ted Cruz, one of the original 2016 ‘splitters’ in the billionaire scheme, is reemerging to activate the Cruz Crew; but again, not to win in 2028, but rather to reassemble his divisive support network.
The Cruz Crew, and the Alligator Emojis (DeSantis) have always been indistinguishable, and they are currently stunningly useful online during deployment of the Israeli wedge.
As things progress, the influencers, who are pushing the division, will eventually drop into place with support for Ron DeSantis. Just as we accurately predicted each move in the 2016 ‘splitter strategy’, the alignment will happen and will highlight just how long this current operation has been in place.
Mark Levin, Laura Loomer, Ben Shapiro, Joel Pollak, Dave Ruben, the Cruz Crew, Dana & Chris Loesch, Thomas Massie and the Alligator emojis will fall into a unified alignment supporting Ron DeSantis against JD Vance.
Together, with the traditional Fox News group of media outlets, this alignment will surface with a level of subtlety; but once you see the strings on the marionettes you will never be able not to see them. They will eventually be cheering for MAGA losses and defeats.
This cast of characters (and many, many more) will be against JD Vance and Marco Rubio if the current Secretary of State supports him. This group has already been on the attack against DNI Tulsi Gabbard over her position against not going to war against Iran.
Any “influencer” who aligns favorably toward JD Vance, and by extension MAGA if President Trump endorses him, including Turning Point USA, Erika Kirk, Tucker Carlson, Jack Posobiec, Megyn Kelly (maybe), Steve Bannon and more, will be viewed as the enemy and subject to the traditional Alinsky attack: Isolate – Ridicule – Marginalize.
♦ Epstein and Other Wedge Issues – When division is the objective, an important focus becomes taking positions on commonality and popular support. The Epstein File release, and subsequent anti-Trump narrative, becomes supported and enlarged by the dividing tribe.
In general, the dividing group take up popular positions: Epstein file release (popular), anti-Russia (popular), pro-Ukraine (popular), anti-Islam (popular), pro-deportation (popular), smaller government (popular), fiscal conservatism (popular). Each sub-set intended to increase the bonafides of the wedge assembly.
♦ LAST POINT: Remember the lessons from the past; history rhymes.
GOP politics is Machiavellian politics; you have to stay elevated to see their moves.
As with the previous Hillary Clinton -vs- Jeb Bush construct, the UniParty didn’t care which wing would win – the corrupt political system retains a heading in the same direction. When Jeb Bush failed in the primary, the old guard Republican “conservatives” shifted their support to Hillary Clinton.
The 2016 “conservative” goal was not to give victory to Hillary Clinton; it was to defeat Donald Trump. Do not forget that.
The outcome of the Big Club’s plan to get control of the political right doesn’t include Ron DeSantis winning; it simply includes the MAGA candidate losing. That’s their win.
Whoever Trump endorses is ultimately who the Old Guard are against. The assembly of the anti-Trump “conservatives”, the DeSantis influencer Republicans (useful idiots), are simply tools to ensure the MAGA candidate does not succeed.
Ultimately, in this 2028 UniParty construct, a victory by either one of these non-MAGA candidates will suffice.
♦ SUMMARY: If you are observing a “MAGA split”, simply realize this is not organic. The same people who had a vested interest in destroying the Tea Party 2012 also have a vested interest in destroying MAGA 2026.
None of this division is organically surfacing. All of this division is being seeded, controlled, enhanced and promoted with very specific intentions. The old guard is rising up to take back control of the Republican Party apparatus. Almost everything happening is a tool or technique to accomplish this objective.
They need division.
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