When polling is driven by media contract it is generally useless; however, when three non-media polls are conducted on the same dates and deliver almost identical results, we can be more confident the outcome will generally be in line with the forecast.
Three polls from Trafalgar, Monmouth and Suffolk University all generally find the same outcome. President Trump is polling approximately 20 points ahead of Nikki Haley in New Hampshire:
♦ Suffolk University Poll: Trump 57%, Haley 38%
♦ Monmouth University Poll: Trump 52%, Haley 34%
♦ Trafalgar Polling: Trump 58%, Haley 36%
The multinational corps, Biden Team and Sea Island group were all hoping that New Hampshire’s open primary would allow Democrats to influence the outcome.
Historically, New Hampshire has been a playground for manipulated voting by cross-party voters, including activists from Massachusetts who coordinate travel voting for the closest contests. However, despite the advice from David Plouffe for Democrats to support Nikki Haley, it doesn’t appear there’s a close enough margin for them to make too much difference.
(via Politico ) – […] Trump’s lead over former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley has slowly but steadily increased in the Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBTS daily tracking poll over the past week. In interviews conducted Saturday and Sunday, Trump led Haley by 19 points, 57 percent to 38 percent.
That’s essentially identical to Trump’s lead in a new Monmouth University-Washington Post poll also released this morning. That survey shows Trump leading Haley by 18 points, 52 percent to 34 percent, with Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, who dropped out of the race Sunday, at 8 percent.
Moreover, DeSantis’ supporters are more likely to go to Trump than Haley. The Monmouth University release said backers of the Florida governor were twice as likely to pick Trump as their second choice than Haley, which is consistent with polling from Suffolk University and the University of New Hampshire over the weekend.
The most consequential divide in the GOP primary electorate remains party registration. In the Monmouth University-Washington Post poll, Trump leads among registered Republicans by a 3-to-1 margin, 64 percent to 22 percent. Haley has an advantage among independents, but it’s closer: 48 percent to 38 percent. (more)
Nikki Haley will do and support whatever her corporate masters tell her to do and support. Additionally, the backers have poured a lot of money into her campaign, and Nikki Haley doesn’t have much pride in herself, so even if she loses her own state of South Carolina by 40 points, she might stay in the race just to poke at President Trump if that’s what she is funded to do.
Nikki Haley is all about Nikki Haley, and she will be the first one to tell you what position in the Trump administration she will accept.
Even if no one votes for Nikki Haley and she is not given any job in the Trump administration, she will show up at the White House in January 2025 asking who is going to assist her in picking out office furniture for a cabinet level executive suite she is sure exists. That’s just the way Haley operates.
Nikki Haley is like the George Costanza character from Seinfeld – showing up to a job at the New York Yankees he doesn’t even have.
