Thursday, August 4, 2022

Bank of England warns the UK will fall into recession this year

 

The Bank of England has warned that the UK will fall into recession this year as it raised interest rates from 1.25% 1.75% in a bit to curb soaring prices.

It expects the economy to shrink in the final three months of this year as gas prices continue to rise following Russia's invasion of Ukraine.

The Bank says a typical energy bill will rise to £3,500 in October, three times what it forecast a year ago.

It said this would drive inflation, the rate at which prices grow, to 13%.

The Bank expects the recession to last until the end of 2023 in the longest downturn since the financial crisis. Though it is not expected to be as deep as the previous slowdown.

It warned UK economic growth was already slowing, adding: "The latest rise in gas prices has led to another significant deterioration in the outlook for the UK and the rest of Europe".

The interest rate rise is the sixth increase in a row as the Bank of England battles to dampen inflation.   

One way to control price rises is to increase interest rates which encourages people to borrow and spend less. It should, theoretically, encourage people to save more.

However, many households will be squeezed further following the interest rate rise including some mortgage-holders.

Homeowners with an average standard variable rate mortgage will see their monthly payments rise by £59.17, according to Moneyfacts.co.uk. People with a typical tracker rate mortgage will have to pay an extra £51.98 a month.

The Bank's Monetary Policy Committee voted 8-1 in favour of a 0.5% rise. Inflation is currently running at 9.4% - far above the Bank's 2% target. A rise to 13% would put inflation at a 42-year high   


https://www.bbc.com/news/business-62405037