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W³P Daily News Open Thread. 

posted by DarkGoldenMan

Welcome to the W³P Daily News Open Thread. 

Post whatever you got in the comments section below.

This feature will post every day at 6:30am Mountain time. 

 

Ash Wednesday

 

Is America Now Suffering a Transgender Crime Wave?

RedState 

Human behavior is very complex, and it's not always easy to discern trends; some patterns of behavior take years to become apparent. One such is the social contagion we call "transgenderism," that being the notion that sex may be genetically determined at conception (it is), but that one can decide to change it up later (you can't). This notion is based on an actual psychological ailment, gender dysphoria, which has been known about for decades. Even the idea of "gender-affirming" medical treatments isn't all that new; the idea had been on the fringes of the medical community since the 1920s, and in the early 1970s, a practitioner named Dr. Stanley Biber, in his clinic, made the town of Trinidad, Colorado, the "sex-change capital of the world."

Lately, though, the trend has accelerated into what we call a social contagion. American and European youths in particular have been caught up in the wave, and there are too many clinics catering to the contagion, with activists masquerading as counselors. Now it's easy to point out that the people who are falling into this have their issues; many of them, almost certainly, do not really suffer from gender dysphoria, but there is some underlying instability that pushes them in that direction.

Also, in recent months, there have been several high-profile mass shootings here in the USA and even one in Canada, wherein the alleged shooter was transgender. Which begs the question: Are we witnessing a transgender crime wave? 

First, let's look at the denominator. There are estimated to be as many as 2.3 million transgender people in the United States, although I suspect that number is on the high side. Of that number, reportedly 3/4 are between the ages of 13 and 35, with 1/4 being between 13 and 17. So this appears to be a contagion that mostly affects younger people.

The numerator, now, that's a data point that's a little harder to winkle out. Yes, there have been some high-profile events, and we have and will cover those right here at RedState, but it's the trend I'm looking for just now.

Here, data is sketchy, probably in part because we're looking at a relatively small sector of the general population - less than 5 percent. But - and not to downplay the horrors of the recent mass shootings I described above - most of the data doesn't seem to indicate that transgender people are at a higher risk for violent crime than normal people, when you adjust for actual sex, determined by genetics. But there are some interesting tidbits in the data. 

One study, published out in Sweden in 2011, did lead to this conclusion:

Persons with transsexualism, after sex reassignment, have considerably higher risks for mortality, suicidal behaviour, and psychiatric morbidity than the general population. Our findings suggest that sex reassignment, although alleviating gender dysphoria, may not suffice as treatment for transsexualism, and should inspire improved psychiatric and somatic care after sex reassignment for this patient group.

Now there's an interesting data point; yes, transgender people are more prone to various psychological issues, although I would argue that psychiatric care before, not after, sex reassignment, is in order.

The numbers are also interesting: Male-to-female transitions, which appear to make up the majority of the high-profile mass shooters, retained a "male pattern of criminality," meaning that they retained the male tendency of greater rates of violent crime. Female-to-male transitions also offended at a higher rate than female controls, although they didn't exceed the rates of male controls.

So, the data is interesting, but not overwhelming. What conclusions can we draw from this?

As is so often the case with these kinds of trends, it makes me wonder if the causal chain is being correctly identified. It may not be that transgender people are inherently more unstable, to the point where a mass atrocity is likely; it may be that inherently unstable people are more likely to identify as transgender suddenly. In other words, for a person who is already behaving in a worrisome manner, showing a trend of increasing instability, a sudden decision that they are "transgender" may be a warning sign.

This should, in a sane world, lead to reprioritization as to how these people are treated. In the case of the recent mass shooting in Canada, my colleague Bonchie writes:

While there's still more to learn, this appears to fit the recent trend of trans-identifying individuals committing mass shootings. People who clearly needed real help were instead affirmed, while their mental illness flourished. How many more people need to die before those in power stop this madness and start speaking the truth? Judging by how the Canadian authorities are responding, the answer is, unfortunately, not zero.

This is the answer. I've been saying, and writing, for years now that the people who identify as "transgender" should not be treated with hormones that can change behavior, sometimes dramatically. They should not be treated with surgeries, which are irreversible and often lead to debilitating results. They should be treated with therapy, as gender dysphoria has been traditionally treated for decades. 

Most of all, they should be treated with a harsh delivery of truth: That therapy should be based on the premise, "I know, you think you're actually a woman; you're not." Otherwise, we are enabling instability that can lead to dramatically bad results. That's the needful act, regardless of the percentages of transgender people who actually commit atrocities. That's the needful act; a simple yet forceful acknowledgement of reality, both in the nature of human sex and in the evaluation and treatment of people who are demonstrating serious signs of instability.

These are facts. And facts are stubborn things. Sooner or later, no matter how hard activists may shout, facts must be acknowledged.

USCP Release Identity of the Man Who Rushed at Capitol With Loaded Weapon

RedState 

Around noon ET on Tuesday, a man carrying a weapon rushed toward the U.S. Capitol Building in Washington, D.C., but was quickly intercepted by officials, according to reports, then taken into custody. There were no injuries reported.

Moments later, a follow-up X post announced the temporary closure of the nearest intersections as they looked into the inident, with the area reopened three hours later:

Maryland Avenue is temporarily closed between First and Third Streets, SW, while we investigate.

Now, the United States Capitol Police has shared a press release with more information on the suspect.

The man, identified as 18-year-old Carter Camacho of Smyrna, GA, was arrested just after noon on the Lower West Terrace of the Capitol. 

The release added that Camacho, in addition to the loaded gun, had multiple rounds of ammunition and a tactical style vest. Next. Capitol Police also found the suspect's vehicle, an SUV, parked nearby on Maryland Avenue. Inside, they say they saw a helmet and a gas mask

The release continues that, thanks to the quick actions of the officers, no one was hurt.

The suspect was arrested for Unlawful Activities, Carrying a Rifle without a License, Unregistered Firearm, and Unregistered Ammunition, according to the USCP release. U.S. Capitol Police Chief Michael Sullivan spoke during a press conference on Tuesday:

He added during the press conference that he had not been made aware of any "utterances" that the suspect might have made during the arrest, and that they are "unaware of any motive at this time."

Sullivan said in a statement:

“Just last summer, we held an active threat exercise on the West Front of the U.S. Capitol – in the very location where today’s officers stopped the suspect," he said. "These now routine exercises are planned monthly and in different areas of the Capitol Complex to keep our officers ready for potential threats just like this.”

Camacho was unknown to the USCP, and they are continuing to investigate what happened earlier on Tuesday.

Canadians Embrace Cheap Chinese Electric Vehicles

Conservative Treehouse 

While the government of Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney has inked a trade agreement with China to accept cheap imported vehicles in exchange for Beijing purchasing some agricultural products, President Trump has promised those cheap Chinese EVs will never cross the border into the USA.

The Canadian polling on the issue has done a remarkable chang in the past few years.  Now, the majority of Canadians are willing to purchase cheap Chinese EVs. As outlined by Bloomberg, “More than half of Canadians, or 53%, say that knowing an EV was made in China would have no effect on their purchasing decision, according to a new poll by Nanos Research Group for Bloomberg News.”

Approximately 50,000 Chinese electric vehicles will enter the Canadian market in the first year. “The pact with China includes a provision that part of the quota will be reserved for electric vehicles priced at C$35,000 ($25,700) or less, the government has said.” {SOURCE}

The Canadian government wants a Chinese auto manufacturer, any Chinese auto manufacturer, to build factories in Canada to produce these electric vehicles.  Canada wants the jobs and economic activity because Canada is currently bleeding jobs and economic activity due to the trade conflict with the U.S.

Building cheap Chinese EVs in Canada might help offset a few thousand job losses, but building Chinese EVs in Canada only further ensures there will not be a substantive trade agreement between the USA and Canada once the USMCA (CUSMA) is dissolved.  [More on that coming]

Meanwhile, Chinese EV company Build Your Dream (BYD) has announced they sold 4.6 million vehicles worldwide last year, far surpassing Tesla and even surpassing all of the Ford global auto manufacturing.  BYD is now the sixth largest auto manufacturing company in the world.

[Auto News] […] The 2025 sales figures place BYD at sixth largest among global automakers, meaning Ford slipped to seventh in total global deliveries. Toyota remains the dominant global seller with sales exceeding 10 million units followed by Volkswagen Group, Hyundai Motor (including Kia and Genesis), General Motors, and Stellantis.

BYD’s sixth position in the global automotive sales index is particularly notable for an auto maker that focuses almost exclusively on new energy vehicles (NEVs) — a category that includes battery-electric vehicles (BEVs) and plug-in hybrid vehicles (PHEVs). (more)

CTH previously outlined the specific explosion in BYD auto sales HERE.  Europe, Russia, Asia and Australia are flooded with cheap Chinese EVs particularly from the BYD brand.  Canada is now opening themselves to face the same issue.

Canadian Prime Minister Pitching Global Trade Rules Agreement to Combat Trump – Connecting Trans-Atlantic to Trans-Pacific

Conservative Treehouse 

There is an awful lot to unpack in this seemingly obscure article talking about Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney and a new trade approach he is pitching to Pacific/Asia and Atlantic/European nations. [Story Here]

Before getting to the substance of the outline, something important needs to be shared for context.

Do you remember the 2014, 2015 and 2016 top story conversations and debates over the Transpacific Partnership trade deal known as TPP?

You might also remember the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership trade deal known as TTIP.

The TPP (Pacific) and TTIP (Atlantic) were two major multinational trade deals negotiated between 2013 and 2016. While both sparked plenty of debate, most of the spotlight was on the TPP, the Trans-Pacific Partnership.

Hillary Clinton was in favor of TPP as were most of the traditional republican field of candidates in ’15/’16.  However, Donald Trump was strongly against TPP and pledged to exit out of any negotiations and scrap the U.S. participation if he was to win the 2016 election.  Some of you may begin to remember this.

Donald Trump agreed with our position, that TPP was being falsely sold as a beneficial 12-nation massive trade agreement between the USA and pacific rim countries including Australia and Southeast Asia nations.

With the history of NAFTA behind us, we could see two major issues with TPP:  #1: It was structured with a back door to let China into the deal. And #2) it was created to ensure the USA remained a “service driven economy.”

Supporters of TPP and TTIP claimed this multinational trade deals would create smooth supply chains and align on ‘rules of origin.’ They believed TPP would benefit companies and lead to cheaper products. Critics, however, argued that the agreements were designed to exploit the U.S. consumer market and prevent the country from ever regaining a strong manufacturing base.

I share those reminders to set up the big 800-lb gorilla question.

If the TPP was such a great trade deal for all parties involved, why didn’t the group finalize it after the USA withdrew? It’s been a decade, so why haven’t the TPP nations completed their trade agreement?

The honest answer reveals the undiscussed lie.

Both TPP and TTIP were constructed and designed to keep exploiting the U.S. consumer market. That’s it. That was the entire purpose of TPP (Asia) and TTIP (Europe). Corporations and lobbyists like the U.S. Chamber of Commerce wrote the TPP language to maximize corporate profits. That was the purpose of it.

Take the U.S.A. out of the TPP trade agreement and the purpose/benefit no longer exists.  Without the host, there is no need for a feeding agreement between parasites.  That’s why a decade has passed and TPP/TTIP went nowhere.

All of that said, suddenly with President Trump positioning to eliminate the USMCA trade agreement, Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney wants to go back to the TPP/TTIP “Rules of Origin” trade framework in order to create an insurance policy against the end of the trilateral USMCA trade agreement.

Now, here is where it gets really interesting.  There is no way for Canada to remain in the USMCA and simultaneously commit to a trade agreement with different rules of origin.   This means that for Carney to accomplish what he’s reportedly aiming for, the dissolution of the UMCA would already need to be in the works.

USMCA Article 32.10 – Non-Market Country FTA (key provisions):

“A Party intending to negotiate a free trade agreement with a non-market country shall inform the other Parties at least three months prior to commencing negotiations and, upon request, provide information regarding the objectives of those negotiations.

A Party that enters into a free trade agreement with a non-market country shall provide the other Parties with the full text of the agreement prior to signing.

If a Party enters into a free trade agreement with a non-market country, the other Parties may terminate this Agreement on six months’ notice and replace it with a bilateral agreement.” [SOURCE]

The Canadian proposal violates the central tenet of the USMCA. Carney’s proposal can only move forward if the Canadian government has already accepted that the USMCA trade agreement will come to an end.

WASHINGTON – The European Union and a 12-nation Indo-Pacific bloc are opening talks to explore proposals to form one of the largest global economic alliances, multiple people with knowledge of the talks told POLITICO.

Canada is spearheading the discussions after Prime Minister Mark Carney called on middle powers to buck trade war coercion last month, days after Trump threatened to raise tariffs on Denmark’s European allies if it didn’t cede Greenland.

Ottawa is “championing efforts to build a bridge between the Trans-Pacific Partnership [CPTPP] and the European Union, which would create a new trading bloc of 1.5 billion people,” Carney told world leaders and the global business elite in Davos.

The middle powers are taking action. The EU and CPTPP are starting talks this year to strike an agreement to intertwine the supply chains of members like Canada, Singapore, Mexico, Japan, Vietnam, Malaysia and Australia with Europe.

It would bring nearly 40 nations on opposite sides of the globe closer together with the aim of reaching a deal on so-called rules of origin.

These rules determine the economic nationality of a product. A deal would allow manufacturers throughout the two blocs to trade goods and their parts more seamlessly in a low-tariff process known as cumulation. (read more)

In practice, a multilateral trade agreement with “Rules of Origin” involving many countries doesn’t really matter to the USA since our trade deals are bilateral. Other parties can set whatever terms they like, but if they want access to the U.S. market, that’s where we lay out our own specific terms on a one-to-one basis.

The same thing cannot be said for Canada, who is intentionally planning to remain a deindustrialized economy.  Canada will import component goods for assembly in Canada, but they will not fabricate much.

Prime Minister Mark Carney is strategically planning to keep Canada dependent on cheap foreign imports.

Disinformation Board Member Jennifer Daskal Appointed as FISA Court Advisor

Conservative Treehouse 

A good catch by Chuck Ross at WFB drawing attention to the latest Amici curiae appointed to the FISA Court.

Adding to a string of leftist ‘advisors to the court’ Jennifer Daskal has been appointed by FISA Court Presiding Judge Anthony Trenga.

Daskal was the Biden administration principal deputy general counsel at the Department of Homeland Security who launched the Disinformation Governance Board (Ministry of Truth) ultimately led by Nina Jankowicz.

Jennifer Daskal’s career has centers around controlling information from a leftist perspective and was one of the core officials who used the term dis-mis-mal-information to censor speech on social media platforms around COVID-19 and the vaccination protocol.

Daskal’s reach and control into big tech and social media is well documented. Appointing her as an advisor to the FISA court is troubling as she has joined Amy Jeffress, appointed amicus curiae in 2015 (Biden’s personal attorney), David Kris, a 2016 amicus curiae selection (denied Carter Page FISA application contained fabrications), and the infamous Mary McCord appointed amicus curiae in 2021 (sits at the center of every stop-Trump operation).

Washington Free Beacon – A Biden administration official who launched the Disinformation Governance Board and served as co-chair of the so-called Ministry of Truth has been appointed to advise the powerful Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Court, prompting concerns from some Republican lawmakers.

The presiding judges of the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Court and Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Court of Review appointed Jennifer Daskal on Feb. 1 to serve as amicus curiae for the court. Amici curiae, known as “friends of the court,” advise judges on legal issues related to foreign surveillance warrants in national security cases. Daskal served as acting principal deputy general counsel at the Department of Homeland Security under Biden. In that role, she drafted the charter for the Disinformation Governance Board, according to a Jan. 31, 2022 memo. (read more)

[SOURCE]