Thursday, January 1, 2026

The Greatest Warship That Wasn’t, Before It Was


As the administration of President Donald Trump announces a new class of naval battleship is to be built bearing his name, care must be taken not to repeat a mistake made in constructing a previous vessel class. The mistake became an embarrassment for the Navy but, fortunately, one from which it recovered.

I followed the development of this previous ship class closely for personal reasons.

Traditionally, the lead ship of a new class bears the same name. This will not be the case for the first Trump battleship—which is to be named USS Defiant (BBG-1)—but it was for the previous ship class and others before it.

The lead ship and the previous ship class were both named for Admiral Elmo R. Zumwalt, Jr.—my late father—who, at 49, had become the Navy’s youngest ever four-star and most senior admiral as Chief of Naval Operations (1970–1974). During his tenure as head of the Navy he instituted massive personnel changes and fleet modernization programs—the former tripling re-enlistment rates and the latter challenging Soviet naval power.

At 610-feet long and a displacement of 16,000 tons, the USS Zumwalt (DDG-1000) was the world’s first stealth destroyer and biggest surface combatant. Its great stealth capability enabled it to operate in the open sea with the radars of approaching ships virtually unable to detect the warship. 

Fans of the original television program “Star Trek” (1966–1969) may recall the name of the space craft’s commander as Captain James Kirk. This, ironically, was the same name of the first commanding officer of the stealth ship USS Zumwalt. In fact, the Navy’s real Captain James Kirk received a letter of congratulations from the fictional one (actor William Shatner) for his command selection.

Commissioned in 2016, USS Zumwalt was promoted as the greatest sailing threat to our enemies. However, the roar of that threat quickly transitioned into a whimper due to the Navy’s failure to abide by the principle of the 7 Ps—“Proper Prior Planning Prevents Piss Poor Performance.” Ironically, it resulted in a ship that hit the water advertised as a major threat to those committed to doing us harm, only to become an unarmed warrior.

When USS Zumwalt was launched, its main armament consisted of two bow-mounted 155mm guns which were to be used to fire the Long Range Land Attack Projectile (LRLAP). This round, having a range of 100 nautical miles (five times greater than the 16-inch guns of our battleships from World War II), was highly-precise. Each LRLAP was equipped with its own GPS capability. At $35,000 per round, they were expensive, but worth the cost.

However, an unforeseen problem presented itself as construction of the USS Zumwalt reached completion. Planning and design of the ship had begun in 1991. It would take another 18 years before its full scale construction began. By the time the ship was completed in 2016, it had run 81% over-budget—costing an estimated $4.4 billion. 

Ship production initially called for 32 vessels in the class. However, with such an increased price tag to build them, the number of ships in the class was reduced to only three. The problem this presented was that the LRLAP pricing quoted by the manufacturer years earlier had been based on supplying rounds to 32 ships of the class—not just three. Thus, the cost of each round skyrocketed to $1,000,000. The Navy realized it could not now afford the LRLAP.

For several years, USS Zumwalt sailed the seas with her 155mm guns unarmed. A ship that was to provide the Navy with its greatest threat had become an embarrassment. But that profile would begin changing on August 19, 2023 when the ship entered Pascagoula Shipyard in Mississippi.

In Pascagoula, the two forward guns were removed. They were replaced with a hypersonic missile system constructed to carry the Conventional Prompt Strike (CPS) missile. The USS Zumwalt was reconstructed to carry twelve of these CPS missiles, each having a range of 2,000 nautical miles. Thus, upon completion of the transition, the USS Zumwalt will be the Navy’s first at-sea platform to field the CPS hypersonic missile. As such, it will have the capability to strike targets anywhere in the world while providing the enemy with minimal time to defend itself.

In announcing the new class of battleships to be named after him, Trump declared they would be “the best, the biggest, and the most powerful ships ever built” and that he was “making ships great again.” While the Trump class is estimated to be roughly one-third longer than USS Zumwalt and have a displacement twice as large, it is uncertain yet whether it will also carry the hypersonic missile. The Trump ship’s length will be about the same as the World War II era battleships, although some of them had up to twice the displacement it will have. Trump says construction of the first ship will start in the early 2030s and take only two-and-a-half years to complete.

But shipbuilding involves a harsh reality when it comes to meeting delivery dates, especially in the case of new class warships. The USS Zumwalt was originally to be finished by 2013. But the ship was unique from the standpoint of technology. Usually, a new technology is introduced on a pre-existing naval platform. However, USS Zumwalt introduced ten new technologies all at once—one that even included a tumblehome hull design in place of the normal flare configuration. All of this resulted in delaying delivery until 2016.

Hopefully, the Trump class will not fall victim to any delays caused due to failure by the Navy to comply with the 7Ps. And another concern about lengthy ship construction periods is the introduction of anti-Trump weapons technology that may evolve, thus not necessarily making a bigger ship better.

As great as the Trump battleship may be and fully recognizing a personal bias, I am most proud of the Navy’s posthumous recognition of my father’s contribution to the naval service. By choosing to name the DDG-1000 after him, for me at least, that vessel will always remain the Navy’s greatest warship.



Podcast thread for Jan 1st, 2026

 


Happy New Year.

Hopefully you weren't sidelined with sniffles.

Oligarchies, Terrorism, Greed, and Other Obstacles to Forecasting the Future


When Donald Trump, Scott Bessent, or Howard Lutnick make a short-term prediction about, say, our nation’s economic prospects for 2026, I listen. When an economist, technologist, or futurist makes a long-term forecast, I shudder. So much of what is uttered never comes to pass!

At the start of each year, the ‘seers’ among us feel compelled to prognosticate. And why not? Being in the long-term prediction business has its benefits. If you make a pronouncement today about something that might happen in 25 to 30 years or more, it’s far enough away to shield you from most doubters.

Recently, I encountered a National Geographic issue published 11 years ago. It featured a variety of predictions. Three forecasters, whose predictions I review below, are prominent subject matter experts in their chosen fields; otherwise, National Geographic would not have consulted them.

Cars and Phones and Religion

Paul Saffo, a technology forecaster, in 2015 predicted that within five to 10 years, driverless cars would share the roadways with traditional vehicles. Largely wrong on the timing, he said that this development would happen in cities first and then spread to the hinterlands within another decade. Eventually, he will likely be correct.

Saffo asserted that people will no longer own cars. In the long run, they'll have subscriptions to auto services. Cars will show up at their doors. Would this apply, however, to rural residents? He said that we are departing from an economy based on purchases and instead will become subscribers. We won't buy cellphones; we will subscribe to them. We won't purchase software but will subscribe to it (he is relatively safe on this last one). In the long run, we’ll be paying more because a one-time purchase is almost always more economical than a continuing monthly fee stretched out over years.

Saffo also predicted that between, perhaps, 2025 and 2035, a new religion[Green energy?] could take hold based on reverence for the environment. “Technology,” he said, “is the solvent leaching the glue out of our global structure – including shaking our belief systems to the core.”

I am shaken to the core by his disregard for the human capacity to screw up things, regardless of technological capabilities. Clearly, forecasting is fraughtwith dangers. Among them is being enamored with technology while underestimating the impact of human faults and foibles.

Goodbye Disease, Poverty, and Hunger?

Brian Reese is the author of Infinite Progress: How the Internet and Technology Will End Ignorance, Disease, Poverty, Hunger, and War. The book title is already so wrong, we could stop right here!

In 2015, Reese predicted that by 2035, we would witness dramatic improvements in how we live via exponential growth in technology. Okay, that seems reasonable. He pointed out that 4,000 years passed from the time we first used an abacus to an iPad. By 2045, we’ll be further ahead of the iPad than the abacus.

Reese maintained that humanity will be able to resolve all problems that are technical in nature. These include issues such as poverty, hunger, disease, energy, and scarcity of resources. He said that if you live a few more years, you have a decent chance of never dying. I presume that means if you avoid an earthquake, a deadly terrorist attack, freely-roving murderers in sanctuary cities, New York subways in particular, or an oncoming truck.

Mortality, he said, could prove to be a solvable technological problem. A solvable problem? To me, that is scary. Having everybody on the planet today continuing on, for who knows how long? Leave me out! Reese predicted that such advances will “usher in a new golden age, freed from the scourges that have plagued humanity throughout history." What a pleasant, naΓ―ve thought.

100 Percent Clean Energy

Looking far ahead, Michael Brune, then executive director of the Sierra Club, and now an energy and climate policy expert, said in 2015 that by 2065, the world might achieve 100 percent clean energy. Within a few decades, each time you turn on a light or a computer, the energy needed to power those devices will be generated from renewable, carbon-free, clean resources.

Brune predicted that eventually solar and wind energy would replace nuclear energy. Humanity would be well on the road to 100 percent electricity via renewable means. Okay, 40 years from now, could someone please check on that?

He stated that by 2030, humanity could cut transportation oil by 50 percent and, by 2040, cut it by 50 percent again. He proclaimed that once we're free of fossil fuels, our climate would stabilize and we could derive all our energy from sources that are “safe, secure, and sustainable."

Starting from the origins of our galaxy and our solar system, and then the early formation of Earth, our planet’s climate has never stabilized. The South Pole, eons ago, was tropical. Apparently, nobody told him.

Can Someone Get it Right?

Of the three forecasters, Brune might be the most accurate. As for our energy sources being safe, secure, and sustainable, he has overlooked disruptions in the supply chain, terrorism, and oligarchies that seek to manipulate prices. So much disruption potentially could occur that ignoring these factors seems foolhardy.

Then again, I can’t tell you what will happen next week.



How My 2025 Predictions Went – and Some Predictions for 2026


It’s that time of year again, when I assess my past prognostications and offer some fresh ones. In my January 2, 2025, column entitled “How My 2024 Predictions Went – And Some Predictions for 2025,” I made 20 predictions in those heady days post-Trump’s election victory. I had a pretty good accuracy rate. If you are playing baseball, I calculate I was batting .750. Not bad.

I thought the Senate would confirm almost all of Trump’s nominees because the Senate Republicans were not stupid; for once, it did. I severely underestimated Mike Johnson, though – the guy pulled it off. He kept a razor-thin majority alive and got the Big Beautiful Bill and other critical stuff passed. I know conservatives are mad because Johnson and John Thune – who has also done a great job – have not passed a bunch of other things, so let’s make 2026 the “Year of Angry Conservatives Learning What The Hell The Filibuster Is.”

I expected the tech overlords to get frustrated at having to move at the speed of government and depart from their temporary alliance with the GOP. However, the Dems stepped up, showed the depths of their crazy (California wealth tax, anyone?), and the tech bros have come back.

I thought the economy would boom under Trump in 2025, and it has started to, but right at the wire in the last couple of months. You’ll see that prediction again below.

I thought the Houthis would knock it off, and they have. I thought China would leave Taiwan alone but keep building up. Correct. I also thought that Trump would end the war in Ukraine, but that has not happened yet (he ended several other conflicts, though, and I bet he pulls it off in 2026). I correctly assessed that Israel would kill the semi-human Hamas scumbags in heaps until they groveled for peace, which they have; though I did not expect so many of the hostages to survive. Glad I was partially wrong on that one. And I predicted that, “Iran’s mullahs will behave or die. Personally, I prefer option two.” I got my wish.

I was right that Canada did not become our 51st state and that Trudeau would go; I did not expect it would be an intraparty change and that the ridiculous Canadians would elect Trudeau, less Castro’s seed. I was right that we did not buy Greenland, and that we should just take it.

No, SCOTUS did not issue any major Second Amendment rulings last year. We can hope that changes in 2026.

I thought GOP tofu-spines Joni Ernst and/or Thom Tillis would face a serious primary; I was only technically wrong – both retired rather than fight for their tiresome brand of invertebrate Fredoconnectivity. I was right that some soft Republicans would make another run at amnesty via “comprehensive immigration reform,” and I was right that this idea went over like a leper at a jacuzzi party.

I called it re: JD Vance. He became Trump’s go-to Mr. Fix-it and has been deep in the mix in the administration. I was right that the media would try and fail to drive a wedge between him and Trump.

I was right that Kamala Harris would not run for California governor. It appears she is running for president. You go, girl! I’m behind that flex 200%. Her frenemy Joe Biden faded from public view, and his decline accelerated, just as I predicted. Moreover, there were a bunch of tell-all books touching on his manifest dementia. Also, as predicted, the regime media sought to make up for giving him a get-out-of-memory-care-free card  by lying about Trump twice as hard.

I was gloriously correct that Trump would pardon most every J6 defendant, that the establishment would cry about it, and that voters would not care. Trump deserves enormous credit for acting decisively to remedy these grave and despicable injustices.

I was pleased to be right that Pete Hegseth would fix military readiness and recruiting numbers. Under his leadership, the Department of War has neutered the mullahs, pummeled ISIS around the globe, and provided us hours of enjoyment watching videos from “Call of Duty: Miami Vice.”

I cannot believe that Scott Jennings was not snatched away from CNN for a primetime Fox show. Fox, you are leaving money on the table here!

Finally, the upcoming “People’s Republic”/Kelly Turnbull graphic novel did not come out, but "Panama Red" did, and I predict you will dig it.

Here’s what I think will happen in 2026: 

  1. The Senate will not end the filibuster despite enormous pressure from President Trump and many MAGA stalwarts. But it will do another budget reconciliation before the midterms.  

  2. Here’s a controversial one: I expect we will expand our seats in the Senate and that the House Republicans will keep a small majority. I know it’s ahistorical, but we just reelected a president to a non-sequential term. The rulebook got tossed out the Overton Window about the time Trump came down that elevator. If the economy is cooking, we do fine.

  3. The economy will keep cooking. We oldsters have seen this before with Ronald Reagan and Trump 1.0 – once conservative economics get put in place, prosperity follows. At some point in 2026, people will look around and say, “Gee, things are pretty good.”

  4. Here’s a scary one – at least one significant GOP-affiliated figure will be violently attacked and perhaps hurt or killed. The Democrats’ fueling of hate and rage among their freakshow base will inevitably lead to violence, which they consider a feature, not a bug.

  5. Pete Hegseth remains SecWar despite all attempts to humiliate Trump by forcing him out. He will lead the military to more recruiting records, and you will see a major focus on trimming the deadwood timeservers and promoting the warfighting killers. We will not be sucked into a major war, though our enemies, like the CCP, will keep building up to take us on. But we will use the US Armed Forces to take out terrorists, drug traffickers, and the odd commie dictator.

  6. Maduro in Venezuela is toast – I expect he will choose jetting into exile over swinging from a Caracas lamppost and vamoose to one of his sponsors’ capitals. Maybe he’ll get a Moscow condo next to Assad. But there’s more. When Venezuela de-commifies, the next domino to fall is Cuba. It’s about time we freed Cuba from socialism, the only ideology so evil and incompetent that it can take a country full of Cubans and make it poor.

  7. The Mogadishu, Minnesota, fraud scandal will grow. Look for local Democrat officials to get indicted. And look for the regime media to try first to ignore the scandals (which we will find are nationwide), then minimize them, then outright defend them. But fraud in government will be a big theme in 2026, and that will hurt the Dems.

  8. Israel will fade from the news, and the dumb people in our camp who hate it will find some other stupid thing to obsess over. But the good news is that Israel will quietly keep killing its degenerate enemies, who are also our enemies.

  9. I think we will see some sort of peace – or at least an extended truce – in Ukraine. No one will like any agreement that could be negotiated – Ukraine will have to give up too much, and nothing but war on Putin (meaning a war against nuclear-armed Russia) is going to satisfy the warmonger caucus. Putin will agree to stop only if he senses it is to his advantage at that instant. Any peace treaty will fail to solve the 1000-year intra-Slavic dispute for good. Sadly, the end of this war will not be the end.

  10. America’s relations with Europe will continue to deteriorate, no matter how much EU flunkies and US fellow travelers lecture us on how we need to be quiet and obey. As the truth about how the relative levels of oppression in EU countries and Russia are converging, Americans will have even less desire to defend Dictatorship Lite against Dictatorship Heavy. The current boasts about how Europe is going to build up its own military will come to nothing. The kind of Europeans who might defend their countries are the very ones their rulers hate most. Starmer and the rest of the elected dictators will keep power. Europe’s establishment is not going to make the same mistake America’s establishment did and let an outsider take power. They will continue to welcome their future Muslim overlords in the most massive act of cultural suicide in human history. And the oppression will continue, though they will fold in their efforts to undo the First Amendment in the face of the Trump administration’s refusal to tolerate their interference.

  11. There will be one or two cabinet secretaries and major officials who leave, but the current leadership lineup for Trump 2.0 will continue, and so will the full-speed-ahead approach to governing and undoing the deep state.

  12. After about March, we won’t hear any more about this Epstein nonsense. The bad news is the dummies will move onto something else. Of course, there will be no revelations about Trump being in cahoots with the perversions, though that won’t stop leftists and other morons from lying about it.

  13. Speaking of dummies, Thomas Massie will not win reelection. Good riddance. Also, many weak Republicans will choose to retire. The new congressional class will be much more based. Look for Trump and us patriots to avenge the Indiana betrayal at the ballot box.

  14. Trump will not hold back on immigration enforcement and will hit the invaders where it hurts by cutting their federal assistance. We’ll hear more sob stories and have to work through many bogus district court rulings, but the great remigration is going to the next level as the BBB enforcement money comes online.

  15. The Supreme Court will finally have enough of these lawless Democrat judges with their nonsensical rulings and Star Wars names and rein them in. But it will uphold birthright citizenship, probably 7-2. Sorry. Would love to be wrong on that one.

  16. Justice Alito will retire this summer, and Justice Thomas might, but probably not. Look for Democrats to accuse the nominees of participation in the Epstein scandal, the JFK assassination, and the chemtrails crisis.

  17. The current GOP gyrations over the fringe nut wing will fade. The Candace Owens of the world will be seen as tiresome, and interest in their doings will fade. If it goes to trial this year, the Brigette Macron case will end with a huge verdict against her. As for that rodent Nick Fuentes, the Cory Booker of Groyperdom, most of his followers will stop listening to him when they discover girls and he gets mad at them. And hopefully, Tucker will come to his senses – many of us are sincerely worried about him.

  18. Turning Point USA will come roaring back under Erika Kirk and be a major presence in the 2026 midterms.

  19. Hollywood’s decline will continue, aided by ill-conceived strikes by creatives that will only hasten the transition to AI content and the death of theaters. Anachronistic woke stuff, like interrupting the Stranger Things action for a 20-minute coming-out sequence, will no longer move the culture; instead, they will draw mockery. There will be a “People’s Republic”/Kelly Turnbull graphic novel in 2026, However, as I seem to say every year, there probably won’t “be a movie/series deal until the right-wing billionaires figure out that winning in the pop culture arena has more impact than funding yet another white paper on regulatory reform written by a bow-tied nerd at the American Forum for Liberty, Eagles, Families, and Forums.”

  20. The 250th Anniversary of 1776 and other marquee events will be huge successes as the haters, whiners, and land acknowledgers are sidelined in favor of patriots who actually love our country. 2026 will be the year when we won’t be ordered to apologize for being American – though none of us ever actually did.

Now, let me wrap up with my usual closing to these prediction columns: See you again in 12 months, assuming these idiots have not caused a nuclear and/or civil war in the meantime, so that I can give you some more inevitably wrong predictions for 2027. 



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Video of Woman Saying 'Fraud Is Bad' Fuels Scrutiny of Minnesota Childcare Program



A video of a woman reading the words “fraud is bad” and then covering her mouth is going viral on X.

The video follows a man in his 20s exposing fraud in Minnesota’s childcare program. One building with a misspelled sign appeared to have no children

Over 133 million people saw the video on social media. 

The video follows the Trump administration freezing payments to Minnesota childcare providers. 

The nation has watched the estimated fraud in Minnesota grow from $14 million via a program meant to help autistic kids, to $250 million via the Feeding Our Future scheme, to $1 billion, and now to now $9 billion.



The Trump/Bondi DOJ Is Aggressively Pursuing Multiple Fraud Investigations in MN; Here Are the Details


RedState 

It has been a difficult few days on social media since Nick Shirley’s video was posted documenting his visits to Somali-run daycare centers in Minneapolis which exposed the obvious fraud many of them are almost certain to be. 

But among the most egregious instances of outright fabrications have come from conservative “social media influencers” who are using the Minnesota fraud schemes to attack the performance of DOJ under the stewardship of Attorney General Pam Bondi.

Before I go into a discussion of what DOJ is currently doing with regard to welfare and health program fraud schemes, I want to lay out FACTS in a timeline about when the fraud is alleged to have begun, when the investigation started, what has been accomplished so far, and what is happening today.

  • January 20, 2022: The investigation first broke into the open when teams of federal agents conducted search warrants at multiple locations in the Minneapolis Somali community. Because an investigation is in place for some time before search warrants are used, it is almost certain that the investigation started in 2021.
  • May 20, 2022: A criminal complaint alleging passport fraud is filed against a target in the FOF investigation. The defendant, Abdiaziz Farah had his passport confiscated during the January search. He applied for a new passport by making the claim under penalty of perjury that he had lost his passport when applying for a replacement on March 22, 2022. Investigators had learned that Farah had twice booked one-way flights from Minneapolis to Kenya in March 2022, but did not board either flight. Farah was later indicted on a single count of passport fraud on June 21, 2022, in Case No. 22-cr-124.
  • September 13, 2022: A superseding indictment is returned in Case No. 22-cr-124, charging 43 counts of conspiracy, fraud, and money laundering against Farah and 7 other co-defendants. All the charges involved the FOF fraud. The indictment was sealed after it was returned, and it was unsealed on September 22 as noted next.
  • On September 22, 2022, the U.S. Attorney in Minnesota announced that 47 individuals were charged across six different Indictments and three Informations. Indictments are numbered sequentially each year, with the first Indictment being “22-cr-0001” in 2022. Five of the indictments were numbered 22-cr-222 through 22-cr-226 in sequential order. That means those 5 indictments were obtained on the same day, one after another. As noted above, in Case No. 22-cr-124 a superseding indictment was returned by a grand jury on September 13. Case No. 22-cr-222 charged 3 defendants. Case No. 22-cr-223 charged 14 defendants, including Aimee Bock who had formed FOF in 2018, and orchestrated the fraud as I explained in my earlier article linked above. Case No. 22-cr-224 charged 8 defendants. Case No. 22-cr-225 charged 6 defendants. Case No. 22-cr-226 charged 5 defendants. Three additional defendants were charged individually in three different Informations. That means they had agreed to plead guilty before they were charged, and waived indictment. These three were only charged with money laundering — meaning they were not involved in the fraudulent acts themselves.
  • March 13, 2023: Ten additional defendants were charged, with four being added to the 22-cr-226 case, three being charged separately in three new indictments, 23-cr-80 through 82, and three being charged by way of Informations.
  • February 5, 2024: Ten additional defendants were charged in two new indictments.

Those are all the defendants charged by the Biden DOJ — 67 total — between September 2022 and February 2024. Every case was related to the “Feed Our Future” fraud scheme involving a childhood nutrition program funded by the Dept. of Agriculture.

  • April 22, 2024: Jury trial begins for 7 defendants in the Farah case, 22-cr-124, the first case filed in May 2022 starting with just a passport fraud charge, but then adding 43 counts of fraud and money laundering with 7 new co-defendants in September 2022.
  • June 7, 2024: Guilty verdicts returned as to 5 defendants, but 2 defendants are acquitted on all charges. A DOJ press release says those convictions brought to 23 the number of individuals either found guilty or who pled guilty.

There were numerous guilty pleas between September 2022 and June 2024. The only other trial, in March 2025, involved only 2 of the original 14 defendants charged in one of the five original cases listed above, with the remaining defendants all pleading guilty prior to trial. All other dispositions have been by guilty plea.

  • May 29, 2025: More than 4 months into Trump Administration, 1 defendant is charged as part of the FOF fraud, having received $1.7 million in payments, and still demanding another $700,000.
  • June 6, 2025One defendant is charged with receiving $1.4 million for more than 600,000 non-existent meals for children served at two locations from Feb. to June 2021 — 1500 per day, seven days a week.
  • August 5, 2025: One defendant is charged with receiving $2.7 million in 2021 and 2022 for non-existent meals for children served at two locations.
  • Sept. 3, 2025: One Kenyan national is charged with money laundering in helping Farah, referenced above, to purchase an apartment complex Kenya with proceeds from the FOF fraud scheme.
  • September 18, 2025: Eight defendants are charged in four different indictments involving the “Housing Stability Services Program” fraud scheme. Minnesota was the first state to provide services using Medicaid funds to assist disabled, mental illness sufferers, and substance abusers with obtaining “stable” housing. The four cases together involved an alleged $8.4 million in fraud losses by Medicaid.
  • Sept. 24, 2025: One defendant is the first person indicted in the “Autism Treatment” fraud scheme, alleged to have received $14 million in Medicaid funds for fraudulent treatments. She was previously charged in the FOF fraud scheme and alleged to have served $465,000 worth of meals at her treatment center.
  • November 20, 2025: One defendant is charged with receiving $1 million for non-existent meals for $300,000 children at two locations.
  • November 24, 2025One defendant is charged with receiving $1.1 million for non-existent meals to 40,000 children a week at two different sites over an unspecified period of time.
  • December 18, 2025: One defendant is charged with receiving $6 million in the Autism treatment fraud scheme.
  • December 18, 2025: Five defendants are charged in three indictments involving the Housing stability fraud scheme. The combined total received by the 5 from Medicaid funds as alleged in the three indictments is $5.65 million.
  • December 18, 2025: The U.S. Attorney announces searches were conducted in connection with an investigation of a fraud scheme involving Minnesota’s “Integrated Community Supports” program funded by Medicaid. The program is intended to help people live more independently in the community — as opposed to an institutionalized setting — with daily one-on-one help with health, safety, and household tasks... Providers can bill up to 24 hours per day for services.” The program began in 2021, with costs totaling $4.6 million for that year. In 2024 the cost of services billed to Minnesota was $170 million, and nearly $180 million through Sept. 2025 alone. More than $475 million total over the first 5 years. No indictments yet announced.

The total loss in the FOF fraud scheme is estimated to be only $250 million.

Remember, the Biden DOJ last charged anyone in the FOF fraud scheme on Feb. 5, 2024. No additional charges over the final 11 months prior to Trump taking office, and it had no investigations into any other fraud schemes.

Working almost from scratch, the Trump/Bondi DOJ — beginning in May 2025 — has now charged 21 additional defendants in less than 7 months, and expanded the investigation into Autism treatment, housing assistance, and the Integrated Community Supports services. 

Catherine Herridge posted on X Wednesday that Dir. Kash Patel said the FBI has 16 investigations open into 32 healthcare and homecare providers. This is a joint effort with HHS OIG’s Medicaid Fraud Unit, IRS, and Postal Inspectors. The HHS OIG unit is particularly noteworthy since their primary responsibilities are Medicare and Medicaid fraud investigations.

At a 35-minute televised press conference on December 18, 2025, the Acting U.S. Attorney for Minnesota said his office has investigations looking into 14 different programs funded by Medicaid and operated by the Minnesota state government.



“The fraud is not isolated. It is not small. The magnitude cannot be overstated…. [It] is not a handful of bad actors…. It is a staggering industrial scale fraud.”

Since 2018, the 14 programs have been funded with $18 billion in Medicaid money. These are just the programs that have been flagged so far, and they only involved Medicaid money. Remember the FOM fraud involved childhood nutrition funding from the Dept. of Agriculture.

But for context — keep in mind that California’s Economic Development Department, which oversees Unemployment Compensation, paid out approximately $30 billion in fraudulent unemployment claims, including more than $1 billion to inmates in California prisons and county jails. Tim Walz has some ground to cover before he can hold a candle to Gavin Newsom.

Note what is completely absent from any of what is described above. There is nothing that suggests the Biden DOJ ever looked into whether Minnesota state officials or politicians were criminally complicit in massive and systematic fraud in programs where Minnesota paid the money out to the fraudsters.

Tolerating fraud, overlooking fraud, knowing about fraud but doing nothing to stop it — none of these are necessarily federal crimes. Any acts by Gov. Tim Walz and others would need to be in support of or to advance the fraudulent scheme for them to be charged. Knowing about it but not doing anything isn’t going to lead to him being indicted.

But there is NO evidence that any campaign finance investigations were ever done to determine whether elected officials in Minnesota — almost all Democrats — received money from any of the indicted/convicted defendants.

I have seen reports on X and elsewhere that donations to ActBlue were made by indicted defendants. Given that the Trump/Bondi DOJ is already looking into ActBlue’s receipt of illegal donations, I expect this issue will now be added to that inquiry.

This article is in response to the moron conservative social media influencers who have made specious and bogus claims that the Bondi DOJ has not be active and aggressive in its efforts directed at fraud in Minnesota. That is a false and malicious smear intended to undermine AG Bondi who many have never supported, and to fatten their own bank accounts with X revenue sharing money by engagement farming through their outrage porn posts.

Investigations of these kinds of schemes are methodical. No arrests can be made until warrants are obtained. Warrants can only be obtained after there is a charging document filed — either an Indictment or Information. Those aren’t filed until the investigation is complete or nearly complete.

I expect we will see rolling indictments involving multiple schemes to defraud over the next 2-3 years — right up to the 2028 election cycle. I also expect this investigation is going to expand far beyond the borders of Minnesota.

But it is also not likely to be the case that “thousands” of perpetrators are involved. Most of the fraud involved nothing more than billing the State of Minnesota for services that were never provided, and the State of Minnesota sending out checks. The two people charged in connection with the autism services fraud are alleged to have been responsible for $20 million in invoices. A few dozen bad actors working over time, without any effort by the state to detect them, can extract massive amounts of funds when there is no oversight to their entry into the program or their conduct participants in the program.

What is being exposed here is the “Poster Child” example of what happens with federal tax dollars when the Democrats are in charge and use those funds to support liberal/progressive/socialist/communist NGOs and the “programs” they rely upon to exist.

This is DOGE at its most real — evidence to support Congress cutting funding for crap like this, and people going to jail as a result.