Monday, March 11, 2024

The PRC’s Bid for Strategic Superiority

China's rapid military expansion indicates that the PRC is intent on global military domination and is targeting the U.S. because it is the last barrier to its dominance.


The unrelenting pace of the People’s Republic of China’s (PRC) nuclear and conventional modernization continues without abatement. The PRC continues its bid for global strategic military superiority in order to coerce the U.S. and its allies and threaten U.S. national security interests as no other power has in history.

This fact was again brought to light this past week at the PRC’s “Two Sessions,” the early March annual meeting of the National People’s Congress and the Chinese People’s Political Consultative Conference, where a 7.2 percent increase to the annual budget of the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) was announced. This is the second year in a row where the PLA’s budget grew by 7.2 percent and continues the three-decade trend by the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) to prioritize spending on the PLA, which is always above the PRC’s annual gross domestic product (GDP) growth.

Any announced increase in spending on the PLA is almost certainly higher since the PRC’s statement does not consider key areas of defense-related spending such as research and development, civil-military fusion programs, or the reality of purchasing power parity that comes from lower wage costs for the PRC. As such, the U.S. intelligence community (IC) assesses that the PRC spends about as much as the U.S. does on defense.

While many Western defense analysts compare the total amount of money spent by the PRC on the PLA versus the U.S., what matters most is not the number of dollars that are spent but what a nation gets for that money. In that regard, the PRC is getting a lot more bang for the buck.

For example, the PRC’s nuclear expansion has evinced a flood of new evidence that is now coming to the fore. The seeds of this deadly fruit were planted many years ago. ICBMs do not spring, like Athena, from the head of Zeus. They take many years of design, development, and testing before they are deployed. The fact that this nuclear modernization was identified by the U.S. but was dismissed, discounted, or ignored is a profound indictment of the IC, as we argue in our new book, Embracing Communist China: America’s Greatest Strategic Failure. We argue that the politicization of the IC is profound, as they have consistently downplayed the existential danger posed by the PRC.

In a recent development, the PRC has developed a new generation of mobile Inter-Continental Ballistic Missiles (ICBM), as U.S. Air Force General Anthony Cotton, the Commander of U.S. Strategic Command, revealed in Congressional testimony and as reported by Washington Times journalist Bill Gertz. Gen. Cotton’s testimony now confirms that the PRC has more ICBM launchers than the U.S. He echoed his predecessor, U.S. Navy Admiral Charles Richard, in describing the PRC’s nuclear advances and buildup as “breathtaking.”

In contrast, “breathtaking” is not a word that would be used to describe the state of the U.S. nuclear arsenal or infrastructure, unless employed in a rather different context, such as “breathtakingly moribund.” The 400 silo-based Minuteman III ICBMs are aging and nearing the end of their life cycle. They will be retired as the Sentinel ICBM is deployed, but the Sentinel is plagued by delays and cost overruns. It will also be silo-based, not mobile, and will not be cold-launched, so the silo might be reloaded.

Moreover, in addition to the new mobile ICBM, the PRC has many mobile ballistic missile systems. The PRC possesses two-road mobile ICBMs as well as mobile intermediate-, medium-, and short-range ballistic missiles. The PRC has also expanded its ICBM fields, including adding 300+ new silos for the solid-fueled DF-31 and DF-41 and perhaps a silo-based version of the new ICBM. The new ICBM may also be rail-based at some point in the future.

The military expansion is important for Americans to grasp because this rapid and “breathtaking” military growth indicates that the PRC is intent on global military domination and is targeting the United States because it is the last barrier to its dominance. This buildup reveals the intent of the PRC and should cause American national security leaders to recognize that it was not the U.S. expansion of its nuclear capabilities that caused the PRC’s rapid expansion. What we are witnessing today is all part of the CCP’s grand strategy of dominance.

The military superiority that the PRC seeks will permit it to coerce the U.S. and its allies through its escalation dominance, the possession of military superiority at each level of conflict, from the conventional to tactical nuclear weapons to theater and finally at the strategic level. This superiority will allow Beijing to force the U.S. to yield in crisis situations or in the event of conflict. It is also noticed by key allies like Japan and partners like India. The PRC’s potent nuclear capabilities will test the extended deterrent of the U.S. like it has not been tested for forty years. The alliance and force posture of the U.S. in the Indo-Pacific depends upon U.S. nuclear and conventional superiority, which has deterred aggression and maintained stability in this region for decades. Now that both capabilities are being tested by the PRC, there is a considerable risk that this peace and stability will unravel.

The Cold War with the Soviet Union stayed cold because the U.S. and its allies could match Soviet strength and did not permit the Soviets to develop capabilities for which the U.S. did not counter. In contrast, the present period of international politics is defined by U.S. inaction, lethargy, and strategic insouciance toward the growing conventional and nuclear capabilities of its enemy. At this pace, the present Cold War with the PRC will not stay cold but will most certainly turn into a hot war if the U.S. does not respond to defeat the PRC’s bid for nuclear and conventional superiority.



Nenshi’s mask-off moment arrives with NDP candidacy announcement

 https://thecountersignal.com/nenshis-mask-off-moment-arrives-with-ndp-candidacy-announcement/?utm_source=The+Counter+Signal&utm_campaign=1270e14d8d-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2024_03_11_08_53_COPY_01&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_-a2e3838862-%5BLIST_EMAIL_ID%5D

he mask-off moment has arrived for Naheed Nenshi, the former Calgary mayor who pretended he was a semi-Conservative, as he announced his candidacy to become Alberta’s NDP leader to replace Rachel Notley.

Nenshi’s mask-off moment arrives with NDP candidacy announcement

Nenshi, who once branded himself with the colour purple — a mix between Conservative blue and Liberal red – is now orange. 

The former 11-year Calgary mayor announced his plans on Monday afternoon, just less than two months after current NDP leader Rachel Notley said she would be stepping down once a new party leader has been chosen. 

Nenshi’s campaign launch focused on “making life more affordable,” and having a strong public health service.  

Nenshi called Premier Smith’s government “not only incompetent, they’re immoral and they’re dangerous.” 

“The only things they know how to do are pick fights and waste money,” he added.

Nenshi becomes the sixth candidate to announce their intention to take over the NDP. The other five candidates are Jodi Stonehouse, Sarah Hoffman, Rakhi Pancholi, Kathleen Ganley and Gil McGowan.

Nenshi’s 11 years as Calgary mayor

In 2010, Nenshi became the first Muslim mayor of a large North American city. He won three Calgary elections before announcing he would not to seek re-election in 2021, when he was later succeeded by Jyoti Gondek.

The 11-year Calgary mayor recently declared his opposition to Premier Smith’s intention to ban hormone therapy and puberty blockers to children who think they are transgender. Nenshi criticized Premier Smith’s policy announcements as “punching down on vulnerable children.” 

Nenshi, who once branded himself with the colour purple — a mix between Conservative blue and Liberal red – is now orange. 

Nenshi, who once branded himself with the colour purple — a mix between Conservative blue and Liberal red – is now orange. 

How the Government Used ‘Track F’ to Fund Censorship Tools: Report

 


March 02, 2024
Updated:
March 06, 2024
Officials from the National Science Foundation tried to conceal the spending of millions of taxpayer dollars on research and development for artificial intelligence tools used to censor political speech and influence the outcome of elections, according to a new congressional report.

The report looking into the National Science Foundation (NSF) is the latest addition to a growing body of evidence that critics claim shows that federal officials—especially at the FBI and CIA—are creating a “censorship-industrial complex” to monitor U.S. public expression and suppress speech disfavored by the government.

“In the name of combatting alleged misinformation regarding COVID-19 and the 2020 election, NSF has been issuing multimillion-dollar grants to university and nonprofit research teams,” reads the report by the House Judiciary Committee and its Select Subcommittee on the Weaponization of the Federal Government.

“The purpose of these taxpayer-funded projects is to develop AI-powered censorship and propaganda tools that can be used by governments and Big Tech to shape public opinion by restricting certain viewpoints or promoting others.”

The report also describes, based on previously unknown documents, elaborate efforts by NSF officials to cover up the true purposes of the research.

The efforts included tracking public criticism of the foundation’s work by conservative journalists and legal scholars.

The NSF also developed a media strategy “that considered blacklisting certain American media outlets because they were scrutinizing NSF’s funding of censorship and propaganda tools,” according to the report.

NSF Responds

In a statement to The Epoch Times, an NSF spokesman categorically rejected the report’s allegations.

“NSF does not engage in censorship and has no role in content policies or regulations. Per statute and guidance from Congress, we have made investments in research to help understand communications technologies that allow for things such as deep fakes and how people interact with them,” the spokesman said.

“We know our adversaries are already using these technologies against us in multiple ways. We know that scammers are using these techniques on unsuspecting victims. It is in this nation’s national and economic security interest to understand how these tools are being used and how people are responding so we can provide options for ways we can improve safety for all.”

The spokesman also denied that NSF ever sought to conceal its investments in the so-called Track F Program and that the foundation does not follow the policy regarding media that was outlined in the documents discovered by the committee.

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Roger Lynch, CEO of Condé Nast, testifies before a Senate committee during a hearing on artificial intelligence at the U.S. Capitol on Jan. 10, 2024. (Kent Nishimura/Getty Images)

Track F Program Funding

The $39 million Track F Program is the heart of the congressional report’s analysis of a systematic federal effort to replace human “disinformation” monitors with AI-driven digital systems that are capable of vastly more comprehensive monitoring and censoring.

“The NSF-funded projects threaten to help create a censorship regime that could significantly impede the fundamental First Amendment rights of millions of Americans, and potentially do so in a manner that is instantaneous and largely invisible to its victims,” the congressional report reads.

During NSF’s solicitation and sifting of dozens of bids that it received in response to its request for proposals, a University of Michigan team, with its “WiseDex” tool, pitched federal officials on enabling the government “to externalize the difficult responsibility of censorship.”

The Michigan team was one of four Track F funding recipients spotlighted by the congressional report. A total of 12 recipients were involved in Track F funding and activities.

The second of the four spotlighted teams is from Meedan, a San Francisco-based group that describes itself as “a global technology not-for-profit that builds software and programmatic initiatives to strengthen journalism, digital literacy, and accessibility of information online and off.”

“We develop open-source tools for creating and sharing context on digital media through annotation, verification, archival, and translation,” the organization stated.

In fact, according to the congressional report, Meedan’s Co-Insights Program uses AI to identify and counter “misinformation” on a massive scale.

One illustration that the group provided to NSF in its funding pitch was its ability to “crawl” more than 750,000 blogs and media articles on a daily basis for misinformation and fact-checking on themes such as “undermining trust in mainstream media,” “fear-mongering and anti-Black narratives,” and “weakening political participation.”

The Co-Insights Program, according to the congressional report, was “part of a much larger, long-term goal by the nonprofit.”

“As [Scott] Hale, the director of research at Meedan, explained in an email to NSF, in his ‘dream world,’ Big Tech would collect all of the censored content to enable ‘disinformation’ researchers to use that data to create ‘automated detection’ to censor any similar speech automatically,” the report reads.

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Lexi Sturdy works in Facebook's 'war room,' during a media demonstration in Menlo Park, Calif., Oct. 17, 2018. (Noah Berger/AFP via Getty Images)

The third spotlighted team is from the University of Wisconsin and its CourseCorrect tool that received $5.75 million in NSF funding “to develop a tool to ‘empower efforts by journalists, developers, and citizens to fact-check delegitimizing information’ about ‘election integrity and vaccine efficacy’ on social media.”

The tool “would allow ‘fact-checkers to perform rapid-cycle testing of fact-checking messages and monitor their real-time performance among online communities at-risk of misinformation exposure,’” the congressional report reads.

‘Effective Interventions’ to Educate Americans

The Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) team that developed its “Search Lit” tool with government funding was the fourth of the highlighted NSF grant recipients.

Officials with NSF asked the MIT team “to develop ‘effective interventions’ to educate Americans—specifically, those who the MIT researchers alleged ’may be more vulnerable to misinformation campaigns’—on how to discern fact from fiction online.”

“In particular, the MIT team believed that conservatives, minorities, and veterans were uniquely incapable of assessing the veracity of content online,” the congressional report reads.

“In order to build a ’more digitally discerning public,' the Search Lit team proposed developing tools that could support the government’s viewpoint on COVID-19 public health measures and the 2020 election.”

In a study by one of the MIT team’s members, people who hold as sacred certain texts and documents, most notably the Bible and the U.S. Constitution, were described as “‘often focused on reading a wide array of primary sources, and performing their own synthesis,’ further alleging that, ‘unlike expert lateral readers,’ the conservative respondents made ‘no such effort’ to ‘eliminate bias that might skew results from search terms.’”

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The campus of the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, one of the world's leading research universities, especially in engineering and science, in Cambridge, Mass. (EQRoy/Shutterstock)

In other words, the congressional report states, “The researchers’ concern is that there are Americans who deem the Constitution and the Bible ’sacred,‘ and therefore dare to conduct their own research of ’primary sources’ rather than trust the ‘professional consensus.’”

The NSF’s Track F managers kept a tight hold on how recipients of funding under the program dealt with media requests for information, characterized reporting in conservative media as “misinformation,” and required grant recipients to submit press releases and related documents to the government prior to release.

At one point in February 2023, one of the Track F managers emailed program participants, telling them that “NSF is not responding to requests from people who are interested in attacking our programs or your projects; it’s probably best if you also ignore it.”

Evading Oversight

In addition to ignoring requests from media outlets deemed by NSF officials as only interested in “attacking” their programs, the congressional report described extensive efforts by agency managers to evade congressional oversight.

The committee report criticized NSF for failing to provide “an appreciable volume of documents and information” that had been requested in May 2023.

“To date, NSF has produced a mere 294 pages to the committee in response to requests for documents and information relating to its Track F program, maintaining an iron grip on much of the substantially relevant information,” the report reads.

“Time and again, NSF engaged in efforts to hide its Track F censorship program from the American people, training the research teams on how to avoid media scrutiny and refusing to respond substantively to congressional requests itself.

“The extent to which NSF has gone to shield its taxpayer-funded censorship research raises serious concerns that NSF knows its research activities violate the Constitution and fundamental civil liberties.”

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A man looks at his laptop in the New York Public Library in New York City on Oct. 5, 2016. (Drew Angerer/Getty Images)

Expanding Censorship

A host of critics on and off Capitol Hill contend that the NSF Track F funding program is just one piece of the continually expanding so-called censorship-industrial complex.
The Twitter Files revealed that the government side of the censorship-industrial complex includes most prominently the FBI and CIA, as well as independent agencies such as the NSF. It also includes key offices and programs within the Department of Defense, such as the Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency, Homeland Security’s Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency, and the Global Engagement Center within the State Department.

The private-sector side of the censorship-industrial complex encompasses hundreds of technology firms such as Meedan that are funded in whole or in part by the federal government, as well as academic and nonprofit organizations such as the teams at MIT and the universities of Wisconsin and Michigan.

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Mike Benz, executive director of the Foundation For Freedom Online and a former State Department official, in Fort Lauderdale, Fla., on Jan. 19, 2023. (Jack Wang/The Epoch Times)
Mike Benz, executive director of the Foundation for Freedom Online, has described the censorship-industrial complex as “four categories of institutions in society all working together toward the common goal of censorship.”

“You’ve got government, the private sector, civil society, and then news media and fact-checking,” Mr. Benz said.

When disinformation conferences are held, representatives from all four institutions usually attend, the former State Department official said.

“They will negotiate what their own preferences and needs are, they will talk with each other about doing favors for favors, they will work out common terminologies, common problems that they are having,” he said.

“They will have revolving doors at the professional level. People who are in government roles in mis-, dis-, and mal-information, for example, at DHS [the Department of Homeland Security], will get their next jobs at the German Marshall Fund or at the Atlantic Council’s Digital Research Lab, the Alliance for Preserving Democracy, Stanford University. It is a career path; it is a path to power.”

Two House Republicans—Reps. Thomas Massie (R-Ky.) and Greg Steube (R-Fla.)—offered amendments to the 2024 Commerce, Science, Justice, and Related Agencies appropriations bill that would have defunded Track F and barred such programs anywhere in the federal government.
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Presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. arrives at a House of Representatives hearing on Capitol Hill on July 20, 2023. Members of the committee held the hearing to discuss instances of the U.S. government's alleged censoring of citizens, political figures, and journalists. (Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images)
Mr. Massie’s amendment provided that none of the funds covered by the bill could be used for NSF’s Track F.
One of Mr. Steube’s amendments barred all federal employees from “using their official authority or influence to censor constitutionally protected speech.”

However, the appropriations bill became ensnared in the inability of the House late in 2023 to complete all 12 major spending bills.

Mr. Steube’s amendment contained the same language as H.R. 140, which passed the House in February 2023 but remains stalled in the Senate.

All 219 Republicans present voted for H.R. 140, the Protecting Speech from Government Interference Act, while the 206 Democrats present opposed it.

Checking the Intelligence Community’s Power

J. Michael Waller, senior strategy analyst at the Center for Security Policy and author of “Big Intel: How the CIA and FBI went from Cold War heroes to Deep State villains,” pointed to a 2017 warning by then-Senate Democratic Leader Chuck Schumer (D-N.Y.) during a media interview as an illustration of the power of the censorship-industrial complex.

“Let me tell you; you take on the intelligence community, they have six ways from Sunday at getting back at you. So even for a practical, supposedly hard-nosed businessman, he’s being really dumb to do this,” Mr. Schumer said on MSNBC, referring to President Donald Trump.

Mr. Waller said, “Here you have the most powerful man in the Senate admitting flat out that Congress has no authority over the intelligence community.

“In fact he is saying the president of the United States also has no authority over the intelligence community. What Chuck Schumer was literally saying was that the intelligence community has become a state within a state and there is nothing constitutionally elected representatives of the people can do about it.”

Asked what the growing censorship-industrial complex means for everyday Americans, Mr. Waller said that “every time we use an electronic communication device, someone, somewhere, stores every word, every keystroke, and can use that to extrapolate precisely where we are at what time, precisely what we do, precisely what we want, who all of our relatives, friends, and acquaintances are.

“They can psychologically profile us, they can run predictive analytics on our psychological profiles to anticipate what we’re going to do,” he said. “They have other applications far beyond what we can imagine, and they are developing more and more and more. And when we get to where we are obstructing their industry and their ideology, they can turn us into what George Orwell termed ‘non-persons.’”