Wednesday, August 18, 2021

Biden Team to Trapped Americans: You're on Your Own to Get to the Airport

 

'Rumors that the Taliban are beating people on their way to the airport are unfounded'...Jen Psaki


Article by Nick Arama in RedState


Biden Team to Trapped Americans: You're on Your Own to Get to the Airport

This is already a disaster in Afghanistan. But may get even worse.

There are thousands of Americans still trapped in Afghanistan. According to the Biden team, 5,000-10,000 are still trapped near Kabul, but John Kirby said they didn’t have a real count, showing more ignorance.

 

 

According to a former Bush official, it’s far more than that, spread across the country — with up to 40,000 Americans still in Afghanistan.

Meanwhile, the Taliban has ringed the airport, the last area that the Americans are holding.

So how is the Biden team going to get them out?

First, they caused some of the problem by telling Americans near Kabul to shelter in place on Sunday which was probably the last safe day to get to the airport. Now, if Americans or allies are going to get to the airport, they have to go through the Taliban who are blocking all the entries. While the Biden team is claiming there is an uneasy agreement to let people through for the next two weeks, there are also reports of the Taliban beating people trying to reach the airport.

In the face of all this, here’s what the American government has sent out to citizens. Imagine getting this after they told you to stay in place on Sunday.

 

 

So how you get to the airport through the Taliban is all on you, too bad. This is shameful.

They withdrew troops without ever guaranteeing the safety of anyone. Now they have to put in even more than they pulled out and they still can’t guarantee Americans safety now that Biden has destabilized everything.

Psaki said they would be continuing to try to evacuate people but wouldn’t guarantee getting anyone out past the end of the month. Psaki apparently came back from vacation, while Joe has returned to vacation.

 

 But the Biden team isn’t even guaranteeing getting them safely to the airport now. She’s telling us they’ll get them out while leaving them to their own devices to get past the Taliban. This is a clown car of an administration. Then, when the people don’t show up at the airport because the Taliban killed or kidnapped them, the Biden team will likely blame them for their own deaths.

 

 They’ve left them hanging out in the wind with this. This is why this may get very very bad. Biden is not just throwing the allies under the bus, he’s throwing the Americans under the bus, too.

 

 

https://redstate.com/nick-arama/2021/08/17/biden-team-to-trapped-americans-youre-on-your-own-to-get-to-the-airport-n428352 

 




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X22, Stew Peters Show, and more-August 18


Hey folks! Here's tonight's lineup of good news:



40 million T-Mobile customers hit by US data breach

 

More than 40 million T-Mobile customers have been hit by a US data breach, the company has admitted.

It blamed the breach on a "highly sophisticated cyberattack".

It said it is "taking immediate steps to help protect all of the individuals who may be at risk from this cyberattack".

The firm said that while criminals stole personal information, no financial details were leaked as a result.

 

 

The breach only came to light following online reports last weekend that criminals were attempting to sell a large database containing T-Mobile customer data online.

The US telecom giant confirmed that hackers had gained access to its systems on Monday.

"Late last week we were informed of claims made in an online forum that a bad actor had compromised T-Mobile systems," it said.

"We immediately began an exhaustive investigation into these claims and brought in world-leading cybersecurity experts to help with our assessment.

"We then located and immediately closed the access point that we believe was used to illegally gain entry to our servers."

The company said its investigations identified approximately 7.8 million current T-Mobile postpaid customer accounts' information in the stolen files, as well as just over 40 million records of former or prospective customers who had previously applied for credit with T-Mobile.

It said that approximately 850,000 active T-Mobile prepaid customer names, phone numbers and account PINs were also exposed but that it had reset all of the PINs on the accounts to protect customers.

It added that no phone numbers, account numbers, PINs, passwords, or financial information were compromised in any of the files of customers or prospective customers.

"We take our customers' protection very seriously and we will continue to work around the clock on this forensic investigation to ensure we are taking care of our customers in light of this malicious attack," the company said. 

 

 

"While our investigation is ongoing, we wanted to share these initial findings even as we may learn additional facts through our investigation that cause the details above to change or evolve."

Hackers previously stole the personal information of 15 million T-Mobile customers and potential customers in the US in 2015.

There is no indication yet that former UK customers of T-Mobile have been hit by the data breach.

Consumer Spending Unexpectedly Collapses in July as Essential Purchases Become Primary Focus of Working Class

Inflation is The Underlying Problem and It Will Get Worse

by Sundance at Conservative Treehouse

The U.S. Census Department releases retail sales data today showing a strong contraction in consumer spending for July [MSM LINK].  The out-of-touch financial pundits were looking for a 0.3% decline; however, the drop was four times greater with a contraction of 1.1% in spending.

“The slide in retail sales comes after Friday’s preliminary consumer sentiment report from the University of Michigan showed one of the largest drops on record, leading some strategists and economists to warn of downside risk to the sales data.” (link)

This should not be unexpected for those who read here.  Massive price inflation on essential goods is eating up wages.  Food, fuel and energy price increases are changing consumer spending habits.  Non-essential purchases have stopped….. they haven’t slowed, they have stopped. ←Emphasize this because it is not showing up yet in the data lag.

The data reflects that auto sales were the primary contributor to the decline in spending (-4.3%).  This should make sense to people because auto purchases are the largest general consumer purchase outside of home purchasing.

When purchase decisions are made by families; and food and fuel prices are skyrocketing; replacing a vehicle is not essential.  Auto sales are a key indicator of consumer confidence and income.

Overall inflation is the primary driver.  Real wages are declining (wages – inflation), and disposable income is dropping quickly.  Americans need to start talking very deliberately about what is about to happen.  CTH predicted this and has been walking through the visible outcomes as each set of new data surfaces {SEARCH BOX}.  Nothing happening right now is unforeseen or not easily understandable.

There is a cascading effect that happens within the economy.  Income shrinks, then spending shrinks, then employment shrinks and work hours reduce.  It is an unavoidable outcome inside the middle-class economy.

Two-thirds of our national economy (GDP) is dependent on middle-class consumer spending.  Any impact to that spending cornerstone triggers downstream consequences. Large ticket items (like cars) are the first to drop. [Car sales have declined 10.4% from their peak in April.]  Luxury goods in general come next.

Wage-earners, families around the table, husbands and wives, start making decisions on finances based on income outlays.  The roof over your head is the priority; then comes food, and the prices are rising;  then gasoline, and again rising prices; finally facilitating expenses for work and school.

I said in June, at a macro level home prices had reached their peak (last two weeks of May, first two weeks of June was apex).  Obviously, there are some geographic home value increases still happening as COVID related regional issues and work opportunities are shifting populations.  There is also a lag and ripple effect that takes time to work through the economy.  The macro-apex will not be visible until next year.

People go where the work is, and the work is in the freedom zones (red states/regions).  Population shifts keep some area home prices increasing.  However, on a national macro-level the apex has been reached.  People cannot afford higher mortgage payments and simultaneously deal with massive inflation on essential purchases.

Economic pressure works to the benefit of the command and control authority who wish to force vaccinations upon people.  The fear of losing a job becomes more of an issue for people when income security is threatened and they see food prices rising so quickly.  It is unnerving, unsettling and for paycheck-to-paycheck families extremely stressful.  This creates leverage for corporations to require vaccinations for employment.  I wish I had the answers; alas, I do not.

Bottom line is…  Depending on your personal situation,  prepare yourself now for prices to continue rising on both consumable and durable goods.  In the longer term, specifically due to a lack of purchasing, durable good prices will level and eventually drop.  Less people buying stuff makes prices drop as competition triggers and businesses selling durable goods look to survive.  Unfortunately at that point we are usually headed to a recession.

The downside for a drop in durable good purchasing is the workforce behind the manufacturing, distribution and sale of those goods are at risk of losing employment.  Again, a natural outcome.  For the auto-industry, and heavy industrial manufacturing, this is the time of year when retooling is taking place and some manufacturing and production lines are closed.  However, when they return to production those companies might be shocked to find fewer purchase orders for the goods they produce.

Employment is currently stable (especially in the freedom zones); but we should watch for continued signs of consumer spending contraction.  Any employment contraction will be made worse by the millions of illegal aliens now purposefully permitted to enter our nation.

Keep in mind, the Federal Government is pumping money into their command and control economy.  This short-sighted (I would say purposeful and ideological) monetary and economic policy is contributing to massive inflation.

Inflation puts pressure on incomes and savings…. which puts demands on government to support income losses…. which leads to govt pumping more money.  This is the dependency and welfare cycle that seems intentionally being deployed by Biden and the socialists behind him.

FORBES – “Consumers spent less last month than economists had expected, buying fewer things online and holding off on car purchases, the Census Bureau reported Tuesday morning, following Friday’s report of “a stunning loss of confidence

[…]Consumers spent 1.1% less in July than June, more than the 0.3% decline economists cited by MarketWatch had been expecting, after increasing 0.7% the previous month. The decline was driven by the lack of motor vehicle sales, which fell 4.3%.  Nonstore retailers, which includes online shopping, fell 3.1%” (link)


Biden Must Answer For….

 Biden Must Answer For The Disaster In Kabul



No one is debating the withdrawal of U.S. troops from Afghanistan. The question is, why did the withdrawal devolve into a horrifying disaster?

I left for a weekend mountain-climbing trip early this past Saturday, blissfully out of cell range and cut off from the outside world for nearly two full days.

That Friday evening before I left, there were reports that the security situation in Afghanistan was deteriorating, that the Taliban had taken control of three major cities in the western and southern parts of the country, and were quickly gaining ground elsewhere.

By the time I got back Sunday evening, Kabul had fallen. Breaking news email updates from The New York Times told the tale. Saturday night: “The Taliban now control every major city in Afghanistan except for the capital, Kabul.” Early Sunday morning: “The Taliban encircled Kabul, the last city under government control in Afghanistan.” Six hours later: “The Afghan president Ashraf Ghani is reported to have fled the country.”

An hour after that: “The Afghan government has collapsed.”

The speed of the collapse and the ensuing chaos were shocking. After 20 years in Afghanistan, most Americans didn’t expect it to end like this. Images of pandemonium at the airport in Kabul, of desperate crowds racing for a place on too-few planes, flooded social media.

Kabul Airport runway today. No words needed. pic.twitter.com/8SfzEOprUZ

— Shiv Aroor (@ShivAroor) August 16, 2021

There was the U.S. Air Force C-17 with 640 Afghans packed on board. There were the U.S. Humvees, MRAPs, and drones seized by the Taliban. There were the Taliban fighters, rifles in hand, riding bumper cars at a Kabul amusement park. There was the Chinook helicopter hovering over the U.S. embassy in Kabul, waiting to evacuate American diplomats and their families to the airport in an eerie echo of the fall of Saigon in 1975.

And then there were the falling men. First came the footage of peoplerunning alongside and clinging to a U.S. aircraft as it readied for takeoff, and then, as the plane rose over the runway, already impossibly high, the bodies falling away, tiny specks against a clear-blue sky.

In a desperate attempt to leave #Afghanistan, people are hanging on to the tires and the wing of the plane. Watch horrifying video of people falling from a flight takeoff at #Kabul Airport pic.twitter.com/2g1DW29jSU

— WION (@WIONews) August 16, 2021

Younger Americans, who were small children during the 9/11 attacks or born afterwards, never experienced the stomach-dropping horror of watching live news footage of people throwing themselves from the Twin Towers to escape the flames. The famous image of the “falling man” was seared into the minds of a generation of Americans who, before that fateful morning, never dreamed they would witness such a thing.

These young people, now in their twenties, have never known a time the United States was not at war in Afghanistan. Now they have their own iconic and stomach-dropping images of the war’s ignominious end: bodies falling from the sky as an American aircraft soars away.

As for the U.S. withdrawal, there’s no point slaying straw men, as President Biden did in his curt and disingenuous remarks on Monday. A defiant and defensive Biden (who took no questions afterwards) congratulated himself on ending U.S. operations in Afghanistan but refused to acknowledge the chaos that has engulfed the country and the obvious incompetence of his administration’s planning and execution of the withdrawal.

No one is debating the withdrawal itself. Some 70 percent of Americans support it. Former President Donald Trump captured the GOP nomination in 2016 partly because of his vocal opposition to the forever war in Afghanistan and the need to bring our troops home.

What we are debating now — and what the administration needs to explain — is how the withdrawal devolved into the disaster that’s still playing out. As many as 10,000 American citizens are still trapped in Kabul, unable to reach the airport as the Taliban go door to door searching for Westerners. Biden is sending 6,000 more troops into the country to help with the evacuation, but it’s unclear at this point if U.S. forces will even be able to maintain control of the airport.

As the Washington Post’s Josh Rogin noted, the State Department and Defense Department must either negotiate safe passage of American citizens with the Taliban or send troops into the city to find Americans and bring them back to the airport — a dangerous gambit that could easily turn into a Mogadishu-like catastrophe.

“American citizens’ houses have been ransacked, and they are in hiding because the Taliban are terrorizing and tormenting neighborhoods. That’s happening all over Kabul,” one senior GOP congressional staffer who has been fielding calls and emails from Americans in Kabul told Rogin. “There are a lot of people who are falling through the cracks. [The administration] didn’t have a plan to handle this on a mass scale… For the people in Kabul, they’ve basically said it’s up to them to get to the airport.”

Meanwhile, tens of thousands of Afghan civilians who worked with the U.S. military are desperately trying to get out of the country. The Biden administration has indicated there may be as many as 30,000 Afghan refugees who will need to be evacuated to the U.S. and housed in military bases.

In April, Biden stood before the American people and promised we would not “conduct a hasty rush to the exit” in Afghanistan, that we would end our mission there “responsibly, deliberately, and safely,” and do it “in full coordination with our allies and partners.” He panned the idea that the Taliban would overrun the country and that U.S. personnel would have to be airlifted from the rooftops.

All of that and more have happened in the past 72 hours. It is still happening. The long-overdue American exit from Afghanistan has turned into a calamity. Biden needs to answer for that.



The Taliban are sitting on $1 trillion worth of minerals the world desperately needs

 

OK--which multinational corporation(s) are funding THIS takeover?


Article by Julia Horowitz in CNN Business News
 
 

The Taliban are sitting on $1 trillion worth of minerals the world desperately needs

London (CNN Business)The swift fall of Afghanistan to Taliban fighters two decades after the United States invaded the country has triggered a political and humanitarian crisis. It's also causing security experts to wonder: What's going to happen to the country's vast untapped mineral wealth?

Afghanistan is one of the poorest nations in the world. But in 2010, US military officials and geologists revealed that the country, which lies at the crossroads of Central and South Asia, was sitting on mineral deposits worth nearly $1 trillion that could dramatically transform its economic prospects.
Supplies of minerals such as iron, copper and gold are scattered across provinces. There are also rare earth minerals and, perhaps most importantly, what could be one of the world's biggest deposits of lithium — an essential but scarce component in rechargeable batteries and other technologies vital to tackling the climate crisis.
"Afghanistan is certainly one of the regions richest in traditional precious metals, but also the metals [needed] for the emerging economy of the 21st century," said Rod Schoonover, a scientist and security expert who founded the Ecological Futures Group.
Security challenges, a lack of infrastructure and severe droughts have prevented the extraction of most valuable minerals in the past. That's unlikely to change soon under Taliban control. Still, there's interest from countries including China, Pakistan and India, which may try to engage despite the chaos.
"It's a big question mark," Schoonover said.

Huge potential

Even before President Joe Biden announced that he would withdraw US troops from Afghanistan earlier this year, setting the stage for the return of Taliban control, the country's economic prospects were dim.
As of 2020, an estimated 90% of Afghans were living below the government-determined poverty level of $2 per day, according to a report from the US Congressional Research Service published in June. In its latest country profile, the World Bank said that the economy remains "shaped by fragility and aid dependence."
"Private sector development and diversification is constrained by insecurity, political instability, weak institutions, inadequate infrastructure, widespread corruption, and a difficult business environment," it said in March.
 
Many countries with weak governments suffer from what's known as the "resource curse," in which efforts to exploit natural resources fail to provide benefits to local people and the domestic economy. Even so, revelations about Afghanistan's mineral wealth, which built on earlier surveys conducted by the Soviet Union, have offered huge promise.
Demand for metals like lithium and cobalt, as well as rare earth elements such as neodymium, is soaring as countries try to switch to electric cars and other clean technologies to slash carbon emissions.
The International Energy Agency said in May that global supplies of lithium, copper, nickel, cobalt and rare earth elements needed to increase sharply or the world would fail in its attempt to tackle the climate crisis. Three countries — China, the Democratic Republic of Congo and Australia — currently account for 75% of the global output of lithium, cobalt and rare earths.
The average electric car requires six times more minerals than a conventional car, according to the IEA. Lithium, nickel and cobalt are crucial to batteries. Electricity networks also require huge amounts of copper and aluminum, while rare earth elements are used in the magnets needed to make wind turbines work.
The US government has reportedly estimated that lithium deposits in Afghanistan could rival those in Bolivia, home to the world's largest known reserves.
"If Afghanistan has a few years of calm, allowing the development of its mineral resources, it could become one of the richest countries in the area within a decade," Said Mirzad of the US Geological Survey told Science magazine in 2010.

Even more obstacles

That calm never arrived, and most of Afghanistan's mineral wealth has remained in the ground, said Mosin Khan, a nonresident senior fellow at the Atlantic Council and former Middle East and central Asia director at the International Monetary Fund.
While there has been some extraction of gold, copper and iron, exploiting lithium and rare earth minerals requires much greater investment and technical know-how, as well as time. The IEA estimates that it takes 16 years on average from the discovery of a deposit for a mine to start production.
Right now, minerals generate just $1 billion in Afghanistan per year, according to Khan. He estimates that 30% to 40% has been siphoned off by corruption, as well as by warlords and the Taliban, which has presided over small mining projects.
Still, there's a chance the Taliban uses its new power to develop the mining sector, Schoonover said.
"You can imagine one trajectory is maybe there's some consolidation, and some of this mining will no longer need to be unregulated," he said.
But, Schoonover continued, the "odds are against it," given that the Taliban will need to devote its immediate attention to a wide range of security and humanitarian issues.
"The Taliban has taken power but the transition from insurgent group to national government will be far from straightforward," said Joseph Parkes, Asia security analyst at risk intelligence firm Verisk Maplecroft. "Functional governance of the nascent mineral sector is likely many years away."
Khan notes that foreign investment was hard to come by before the Taliban ousted Afghanistan's civilian Western-backed government. Attracting private capital will be even more difficult now, particularly as many global businesses and investors are being held to ever higher environmental, social and governance standards.
"Who's going to invest in Afghanistan when they weren't willing to invest before?" Khan said. "Private investors are not going to take the risk."
US restrictions could also present a challenge. The Taliban has not been officially designated as a Foreign Terrorist Organization by the United States. However, the group was placed on a US Treasury Department list of Specially Designated Global Terrorists and a Specially Designated Nationals list.

An opportunity for China?

State-backed projects motivated in part by geopolitics could be a different story. China, the world leader in mining rare earths, said Monday that it has "maintained contact and communication with the Afghan Taliban."
 
"China, the next-door neighbor, is embarking on a very significant green energy development program," Schoonover said. "Lithium and the rare earths are so far irreplaceable because of their density and physical properties. Those minerals factor into their long-term plans."
Should China step in, Schoonover said there would be concerns about the sustainability of mining projects given China's track record.
"When mining isn't done carefully it can be ecologically devastating, which harms certain segments of the population without a lot of voice," he said.
Beijing could be skeptical of partnering on ventures with the Taliban given ongoing instability, however, and may focus on other regions. Khan pointed out that China has been burned before, having previously tried to invest in a copper project that later stalled.
"I believe they will prioritize other emerging/frontier geographies well before Taliban-led Afghanistan," said RK Equity partner Howard Klein, who advises investors on lithium.
 


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We Are Perilously Close to….

 We Are Perilously Close to a Post-American World

($173 billion)

After the fall of Saigon, the Soviet Union began five years of aggressive subversion around the world, culminating in the invasion of Afghanistan at the end of 1979. Henry Kissinger and the elites in the US and Europe all predicted a Russian victory in the Cold War. The fall of Kabul is worse: In Vietnam, we faced a well-trained and equipped North Vietnamese Army; we were humiliated by 75,000 rag-tag irregulars in Afghanistan.

The big difference is that China’s economy is fifty times bigger than it was in 1975 — $11.8 trillion in constant 2010 prices, vs. $250 billion in 1975. That’s what happens when you grow at 8% a year for fifty years. China’s exports to the U.S.–now running at an all-time record–are just 3.5% of China’s $15 trillion GDP. But they comprise a fifth of all U.S. consumption of manufactured goods. It would take $1 trillion or more and perhaps a decade to replace most of America’s dependency on Chinese imports, especially electronics. Among other things, we would have to train hundreds of thousands of engineers and skilled workers.

You learned everything you need to know about Chinese foreign policy from “The Godfather” — keep your friends close and your enemies closer. China’s main concern is an Islamist insurgency in Xinjiang, and several thousand Uyghur jihadists trained in Syria and elsewhere who have returned to China. Russia’s main concern is jihad among its Muslim minority, a fifth of the population of the Russian Federation.

China’s “Godfather” move is to recognize the Taliban while admonishing them to stay out of Xinjiang and leave the Uyghurs to their fate. China and Russia are cementing their alliance with Iran, which provided weapons to the Taliban. Iran will join the Sino-Russian umbrella group, the Shanghai Cooperation Organization. China will invest in Iran’s oil and gas, while it builds pipelines frantically to secure hydrocarbon supply from places the U.S. can’t touch.

The Biden administration is now begging Beijing and Moscow for help in Afghanistan. That will be expensive, as the South China Morning Postreports this morning:

US Secretary of State Antony Blinken picked up the phone on Monday to Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi for a discussion on how the two countries could work together to achieve a “soft landing” for Afghanistan. He was told Beijing was willing, but Washington would need to step back the pressure on its greatest rival, according to China’s state media.

Wang earlier had spoken to his Russian counterpart Sergey Lavrov, with both sides agreeing that Beijing and Moscow should step up their communication and coordination over the Afghanistan situation.

In a flurry of diplomatic phone calls, Blinken also spoke to Lavrov, as well as Nato’s secretary general Jens Stoltenberg, the European Union’s high representative Josep Borrell and foreign ministers from Pakistan, Britain and Turkey, in the aftermath of the chaotic fall of the Afghan government as the Taliban took over Kabul and the presidential palace on Monday.

One reason that Blinken is so solicitous toward Moscow and Beijing is the presence of 10,000 American citizens in Afghanistan, all potential hostages.

More broadly, the Biden administration finds itself in the miserable position of having to adjust to the collapse of an overreaching American policy.

China’s foreign minister told Blinken that he would be happy to help, at a price:

In his conversation with Blinken, Wang Yi opposed the US move that it engages in deliberate all-around suppression of China to harm China’s interests but asks China to cooperate with it. It is very necessary at this moment to directly point out that the US is a strategic rogue.

China will be keen to restore order in Afghanistan and promote reconstruction of this war-torn country, but it has no obligation to help the US get out of a strategic dilemma that entirely belongs to Washington. When the US is maliciously carrying out strategic coercion and containment against China, there is no need for China to win US favor by rendering good for evil. That will not work.

The Biden Administration’s blundering in Afghanistan exposed an inherently weak American position.

  • Despite the Trump tariffs, the U.S. is more dependent on China than ever before.
  • Despite the tech sanctions, China is able to manufacture most of the chips it needs, enough to support its massive 5G buildout and Fourth Industrial Revolution applications.
  • The China-Russia alliance is now set in stone, with massive Chinese investment in Russian hydrocarbons (delivered to China by pipeline where the U.S. can’t interdict them), and a common interest in containing jihadis in Central Asia.
  • China and Russia can insulate Iran against U.S. sanctions and now have formally invited Iran into their umbrella organization, the Shanghai Cooperation Organization.
  • The threat to India from China’s ally Pakistan just escalated, as Pakistan’s president Imran Kahn hailed the Taliban for “breaking the shackles of slavery.”

If we want to remain a world power, we need to throw out Biden’s multi-trillion dollar handouts to his political constituencies and invest trillions in manufacturing, infrastructure, and R&D. Right now our credibility is at a fifty-year low, and time is running out.


Why You Can’t Be A Progressive And Truly Love American History

Only recently have scholars outside the historical
 profession identified progressivism for what it is:
 a fundamental rupture with the roots of American order.



America’s Founders understood political change is inevitable. They thought it must come about through constitutional mechanisms, with the consent of the governed, and must never infringe on the natural rights of citizens.

Progressives – rejecting the idea that any rights, including the right of consent to government, are natural – accept no such limits. Progressivism insists that the principled American constitutionalism of fixed natural rights and limited and dispersed powers must be overturned and replaced by an organic, evolutionary model of the Constitution.

To them, historical progress should be facilitated by experts dedicated to the expansion of the public sphere and political control – especially at the national level. As progressivism has grown into modern liberalism, the commitment to extra-constitutional “progress” is broadly shared across elite political, academic, legal, and religious circles. Politics is thus increasingly identified with a mix of activism, expertise, and the desire for “change.”

Unlimited Government for Social Progress

The progressive understanding of the American polity grew out of a transformation in American political thought that occurred in the late 19th and early 20th centuries. This transformation stemmed from a confluence of ideas borrowed from Darwinism, pragmatism, and German idealism. Each of these philosophical systems rejected natural law and natural rights. They privileged inexorable historical evolution and change over continuity and fixity.

In the early decades of the twentieth century, America’s intellectual classes, guided by these ideas, moved in lockstep. They scorned whatever they perceived to stand in the way of History’s march – especially the Founders’ Constitution and traditional Christianity. Government was understood to be unlimited in principle – and it certainly could not be limited by a dusty 18th-century Constitution based on the flawed theory of a fixed, and fallen, human nature.

The most important forms of social, economic, and political progress came to be seen as depending on the state, and the manipulation by the state of measurable phenomena. Human flourishing was most often seen as an incident of politically engineered growth and transformation. As the idea of a formal Constitution disappeared as an object of study – and eventually of public veneration – so, too, did the realm of the private and the invisible.

American Catholicism and Protestantism assimilated themselves to the progressive synthesis, in their calls for social solidarity through economic policy. Whether through the Catholic social thought of Fr. John Ryan (“A Living Wage,” 1906), or the social gospel of Walter Rauschenbusch (“Christianizing the Social Order,” 1913), significant portions of religious opinion turned against limited constitutionalism in the quest for more rational, just, and scientific state administration.

This stood in contrast to the pre-progressive American Christianity that buttressed the constitutional order by linking human fallenness, or imperfection, to the need for political moderation, individual rights, personal responsibility, and limited government. Such assimilation of secular thought and theology to the aims of progressivism continues to have important ramifications.

History of Progressivism, Written by Progressives

It would be next to impossible to understand the nature and depth of this progressive revolt against American institutions if one were to read the accounts of major American historians from the mid-twentieth century onward.  As Winston Churchill is reputed to have said, “History will be kind to me, for I intend to write it.” In large measure, the scholarly interpreters of progressivism were in deep sympathy with its premises and conclusions.

For much of the twentieth century, progressivism was interpreted as a populist or occasionally intellectual movement that was ultimately assimilable to the basic contours and concerns of the American regime. This is largely because professional historians shared the assumptions of the progressivism they documented: the utility of statism, the chimerical status of natural rights in the face of Darwinian and pragmatic criticisms, and the anachronistic nature of a Constitution rooted in political thinking that could not be squared with “scientific” and “evolutionary” approaches to history.

The dominant professional organization of historians – the American Historical Association – was founded in the late 19th century, just as fashionable progressive ideas were sweeping the intellectual classes. American historians from the beginning downplayed any constitutional perspective because they saw it as quaintly irrelevant and professionally antediluvian.

With the growth of academic history in the 20th century, the discipline’s practitioners absorbed progressive orientations – deliberately or through subtle osmosis – from the very movement that many of them would chronicle. Collectively, therefore, they were guilty of a strange complicity of understatement.

Groundwork for a ‘Living Constitution’

In fairness, historians were not alone in this. Many other academic disciplines were similarly compromised. But it was historians who most thoroughly told the American story to generations of college-educated citizens.

Such matters are not merely of academic or antiquarian interest. The serious but flawed historical scholarship of the twentieth century laid the groundwork for far less serious – but more famous – progressive assaults on America, such as those contained in The 1619 Project.

More broadly, as “History” and “progress” came to replace nature as the fundamental ordering ideas of American politics, they laid the groundwork for the contemporary embrace of the “living Constitution” as a replacement for the Founders’ formal, fixed Constitution. The reverberations of this shift are still being felt on matters as diverse as the size and scope of government, freedom of conscience, identitarian politics, and the political and cultural drift of the nation.

Writing after the Progressive Era had morphed into the New Deal, leading progressive historians wrote with the considerable authority that twentieth-century American academia provided. Starting in the 1940s, they studied progressivism qua progressivism – which is to say, they identified it by name, casting longing glances in its direction.

These scholars cemented in the American mind the image of progressivism as a warm and fuzzy movement for change whose time had come and gone. The chroniclers more often than not ignored the fundamental constitutional dimensions of progressivism and the relationship of citizens to the state. And where they didn’t ignore such matters, their works trod lightly so as not to challenge an increasingly conventional wisdom.

For example, Arthur Schlesinger, Jr. (“The Vital Center,” 1949), gives an account of progressivism’s direct lineal descendant – the New Deal – which, he claims, fills “the vacuum of faith.” New Deal liberalism provides an intellectual and moral compass that allows Americans to work their way through the anxieties of the postwar era, when “unhappy people” see that both communism and capitalism have dehumanized workers and destroyed personal and political liberty.

Echoing the central themes of the progressives while seeming to dismiss their romanticism, Schlesinger observes matter-of-factly that the “problem remains of ordering society so that it will subdue the tendencies of industrial organization.” He laments threats to the “vital center” – the New Deal center – that must be defended against all enemies. The “positive state” – latent in the American tradition since Hamilton – must continue to flourish for the sake of democracy.

Glossing Over a Widening Divide

Likewise, Richard Hofstadter’s consensus view of American intellectual history (“The Age of Reform,” 1955) deemphasizes the depth of philosophic disagreement that separated the founders of progressivism from the founders of the American regime – and from what was then the mainstream of American political thought.

In Hofstadter’s telling, the desire for reform was more psychological than political, not rising from a will to promote ideas as much as a reflex to defend against economic and emotional insecurities. He sees progressivism as the quest of the essentially well-off classes to maintain status in an era of socioeconomic challenge.

America, he asserts, lacks a conservative intellectual tradition, so progressive thinking exists as a highbrow reaction to unserious political conservatism. The possibility of a genuine constitutional conservatism – stretching from the Founders to Lincoln and reasserting itself in the very period that is the subject of his book (through William Howard Taft and Calvin Coolidge, among others) – is beyond Hofstadter’s imagining.

Indeed, the continuities in the American tradition, rather than important disjunctions in thought, were emphasized by scholars across the spectrum, from Louis Hartz (“The Liberal Tradition in America,” 1955) to Henry Steele Commager (“The American Mind,” 1950), to Daniel Boorstin (“The Genius of American Politics,” 1953). In these accounts one finds a peculiar mix of understatement and triumphalism, something particularly noticeable in Commager, who claims that progressive calls for reform rested on moderation, common sense, and even inevitability, given the fundamentally changed political and economic landscape of the early twentieth century.

In other words, Commager’s historian’s interpretation coincides with the self-understanding of his subjects. The progressives’ searing constitutional critique attracts surprisingly little attention.

The Many Faces (and Disguises) of Progressivism

Arthur S. Link (“Woodrow Wilson and the Progressive Era,” 1954) argued for the relatively superficial character of progressive thought exemplified by Woodrow Wilson, in the course of which he accepts the historicist premises of progressivism, claiming that the progressive movement itself “was the natural consummation of historical processes long in the making.” The understanding of progressivism as fundamentally a populist rather than philosophic movement was reinforced by historians such as C. Vann Woodward (“Origins of the New South,” 1951). Henry F. May (“The End of American Innocence,” 1959) even suggested that many progressives represented a basic cultural and political conservatism, a theme that would be magnified in the next decade.

As the 1950s gave way to the 1960s, American history writing was increasingly defined by the concerns of New Left scholars, who interpreted progressivism primarily in economic terms. They rejected the psychological reductionism of consensus historians and made ideology and interest central concepts in their analysis. But their deep sympathy with the aspirations and philosophical orientations of progressivism ensured that they became part of the story they chronicled.

In “The Contours of American History” (1961), William Appleman Williams sees the progressives as Christian capitalists merely trying to harmonize private interests, rather than attempting to challenge the system as whole. Themes of economy and empire loom large in Williams’s account, and constitutional questions are all but invisible as he insists that a fundamental conservatism characterized progressive thought. Williams argues that the progressives sought to nationalize and Americanize – but he does not attempt to define “Americanization” other than in materialist terms.

Like Williams, Gabriel Kolko (“The Triumph of Conservatism,” 1963) tries to construct a grand narrative of American history along materialist lines. The Progressive Era was really an era of conservatism, serving the needs of particular classes – especially the business classes. “Political capitalism” is the term Kolko uses to describe the dominance of politics by business.

Denying Progressivism’s Existence

Competing scholarly accounts of the nature and significance of progressivism, among other matters, culminated in furious battles within the historical profession. The 1969 meeting of the American Historical Association was tumultuous, with conflict between the “radical caucus” and the “establishment” coming to a head. The radicals aimed their fire at the “consensus” historians, who were seen to dominate the field.

It was only a matter of time before someone would attempt to put conflicts over progressivism to bed once and for all – both for the historical profession and ultimately for the American people. And the way to do this was to claim that there was no “there” there to begin with. By the 1970s, the radicalism of the New Left was giving way to a perhaps even more radical postmodernism.

Cultural historian Peter Filene (“An Obituary for ‘The Progressive Movement‘,” 1970) denied that progressivism had ever existed. In fact, he saw significantly less to progressivism than even Hofstadter, who at least allowed for some measure of psychological unity among progressives, or “temperamental traits” that they shared.

Filene accepts the view that progressivism was aimed at undermining privilege and expanding both democracy and government power. But he claims that there was much more that divided the progressives than united them. For example: Teddy Roosevelt’s belief in big government to offset the power of big business, versus what he denigrated as the “rural toryism” of the more populist wings of the movement.

Additionally, progressives alternately emphasized either democracy or paternalism. Such splits point not to a cohesive movement, according to Filene, but to various incompatible visions of reform. “In each of its aspects – goals, values, membership and supporters – the movement displays a puzzling and irreducible incoherence.” There are only “shifting coalitions around different issues.” The idea of a progressive movement is but sound and fury, signifying nothing.

The Stealthy Threat of Progressive Ideology

By the end of the twentieth century, most scholarly accounts of progressivism downplayed its constitutional dimensions and its effect on larger cultural conceptions of the private sphere. For some, progressivism represented little more than the cautious efforts of popular – or at least non-elite – interests to check elite dominance. This was, broadly speaking, the view shared by early liberal historians like Hofstadter, Schlesinger, Jr., and many more.

For others, populism had little to do with progressivism. The New Left historians, such as Kolko and Williams, attempted to upend the liberal or consensus narrative by insisting that corporate elites either drove or coopted progressive reforms in order to exercise ideological and political control over an otherwise unruly economic order.

For most everyone, progressivism was bound up with the desire for efficiency and expertise rather than the messiness of republican politics – and with a faith in expanded state (especially national) power, as opposed to decentralized market forces or the spontaneous workings of civil society. Almost no one saw progressivism as a fundamental rejection of the Founders’ Constitution, embodying a new form of secular millenarianism rooted in a strong, relatively unified sense of historical unfolding – and pointing to deep theoretical unity, rather than division.

Today’s progressives, who occupy almost all the cultural high ground in America, were educated in institutions where the misrepresentations of historians still loom large. Despite these modern progressives’ positions of privilege and systemic advantage, a new constitutionalist critique of progressivism prevents them from claiming final victory. Only recently have scholars outside the historical profession – mostly a new generation of political theorists – identified progressivism for what it was and continues to be: a fundamental rupture with the roots of American order.