Friday, November 1, 2019

Stupendously Splendid Jobs Report

October Jobs +128,000, Aug/Sept Revisions +95,000, Wage Growth +3.0%


Jumpin’ ju-ju bones, the October jobs report has blown away all expectations in every possible metric.  It’s not just the top-line job gains, the two month revisions are huge.

The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report for October shows 128,000 job gains; and that number includes absorption for negative impacts due to -20,000 census workers coming off federal payrolls, and -42,000 striking auto-workers.  Far better employment numbers than all projections and estimations.

Additionally, the prior two months had massive upward revisions. August was revised up by 51,000 (from +168,000 to +219,000), and the change for September was revised up by 44,000 (from +136,000 to +180,000). With these revisions, employment gains in August and September combined were 95,000 more than previously reported (BLS Link).

“The October jobs report is unambiguously positive for the US economic outlook,” said Citigroup economist Andrew Hollenhorst. “Above-consensus hiring in October, together with upward revisions to prior months, is consistent with our view that job growth will maintain a pace of 130-150K per month. Wage growth remaining at 3.0% should further support incomes and consumption-led growth.”  (link)
The strong employment results are so strong the results now have all of the financial pundits reassessing their prior perspectives on the state of the U.S. economy.

Within the household survey data the civilian labor force grew by 325,000 in October; as the total civilian population grew by 207,000.  Additionally the household data shows the number of people employed grew last month by 241,000.


The overall unemployment rate remained relatively unchanged at 3.6 percent, and almost every category of worker is at record low unemployment rates.

Everyone that wants to work is able to find a job easily.  Additionally, the year-over-year wage growth remains +3.0 percent, which is much higher than inflation.

The financial pundits are quite shocked at the strength of Main Street and reevaluating their perspectives on the U.S. economy.  Here’s a few examples:

Islamic State wives start repatriation case in Netherlands

November 1, 2019
THE HAGUE (Reuters) – Lawyers for 23 women who joined Islamic State from the Netherlands asked a judge on Friday to order the Netherlands to repatriate them and their 56 young children from camps in Syria.
The women and children were living in “deplorable conditions” in the al-Hol camp in Northern Syria, lawyer Andre Seebregts said in court.
He added that their situation had significantly worsened due to the Turkish incursion into Syria and the possibility of Syrian forces taking control of the camps which were controlled by the Kurds until now.
The Dutch government has stressed that it is too dangerous for Dutch officials to go into the camps and find the women to return them to the Netherlands.
Lawyers for the state repeated that argument in court and added that the women did not have the right to Dutch consular assistance in the camps.
According to the Red Cross some 68,000 defeated fighters of Islamic State and their families are held in the al-Hol camp. They were held under the custody of Syrian Kurdish forces after they took the jihadist group’s last enclave.
According to figures from the Dutch intelligence Agency as of Oct. 1 there are 55 Islamic State militants who traveled from the Netherlands and at least 90 children with Dutch parents, or parents who had lived for a considerable time in the Netherlands, in Northern Syria.
The court will deliver a verdict on Nov 11.
https://www.oann.com/islamic-state-wives-start-repatriation-case-in-netherlands/

Donald Trump Versus ‘The Interagency Consensus’



Trump’s presidency has been defined by senior government officials who are open about their loyalty to the administrative state, including criminal acts and abuses of power, over the imperatives of a democratically elected president.

This week there was an unfortunate blow-up on cable news where Lt. Col. Alexander Vindman, one of the witnesses against Donald Trump in the impeachment inquiry, was accused of having loyalty to Ukraine over the United States, since he was born in that country. This argument was unfortunate on two fronts. One, it ironically echoed the absurd and unfair charges that Trump and his supporters — and heck, in the case of Rep. Tulsi Gabbard, anyone who doesn’t express complete fealty to Democratic Party elders — must be Putin’s handmaiden.

Two, while antisemitism almost certainly didn’t motivate any of the people who made this argument, the “dual loyalty” canard was unfortunate considering that Vindman and his family were Jewish refugees to the United States escaping Soviet persecution. John Podhoretz wrote a commendable article explaining why this was hurtful to American Jews. So to be clear, I do not call into question Vindman’s service, integrity, or dedication to protecting America.

However, I do think the issue of loyalty to America in a narrow but important sense is at the crux of many of the debates about Donald Trump and his administration. Trump’s presidency has been unfortunately defined by the emergence of senior government officials who are quite open about demonstrating loyalty to the administrative state, up to and including criminal acts and abuses of power, over the imperatives of a democratically elected president.

The people doing these things may even sincerely justify what they’re doing as motivated by patriotism, but that doesn’t mean these abuses aren’t being done at the expense of a vision of America at odds with what the people want. Even if you don’t like Trump, this is a huge threat to the rule of law and the legitimacy of federal governance in the eyes of American citizens.

A Bureaucrat ‘Consensus’ Versus the Elected President

With that in mind, an aspect of Vindman’s testimony against Trump did raise alarm bells. “In the Spring of 2019, I became aware of outside influencers promoting a false narrative of Ukraine inconsistent with the consensus views of the interagency,” Vindman said in his opening statement. “This narrative was harmful to U.S. government policy. While my interagency colleagues and I were becoming increasingly optimistic on Ukraine’s prospects, this alternative narrative undermined U.S. government efforts to expand cooperation with Ukraine.”

What are the “consensus views of the interagency” in this context? Trump is accused of withholding aid to Ukraine in exchange for Ukraine investigating the (quite obviously shady) business dealings of a political opponent’s son. However, the aid in question was military aid to the Ukraine, including weapons, to help combat Russia.

Trump’s predecessor, Obama, was unwilling to give the Ukraine lethal military aid. In 2015, Sen. John McCain, not exactly a charter member of the Trump fan club, chastised the Obama administration for this. “The Ukrainians are being slaughtered and we’re sending them blankets and meals. Blankets don’t do well against Russian tanks,” he said.
Were federal officials in 2015 sounding the alarm about Obama defying the “interagency consensus”? Or was the interagency consensus different back then because the president sets policy, not the army of federal employees beneath him?

Now in some respects “interagency consensus” is a benign term of art within the federal government and, again, just because Vindman used the term this way does not mean he’s necessarily part of some fifth-column #resistance undermining Trump. But even as rhetorical matter it is very revealing.

Obstructing the President’s Platform that Voters Cosigned

Part of the reason the phrase jumped out at me when I read Vindman’s testimony was that I had seen it just a few weeks before. When Trump abruptly pulled out of Syria in early October, an article in the Washington Postcriticized Trump’s decision for having “been announced swiftly, without warning, and in the absence of interagency consensus.”

If you’ve been following the news the last four years, Trump campaigned on getting out of Syria (and foreign military entanglements generally), got elected, got repeatedly stymied by cabinet officials and the bureaucracy on trying to disengage from Syria, and after obvious and not unwarranted frustration, finally pulled out abruptly, to seemingly everyone in Washington’s chagrin.

Lots and lots of reporting bears out that version of events. Trump may bear the costs of a rash decision, but it also seems true that the decision was rash because the “interagency consensus” would not carry out his wishes to create an orderly exit that best preserves our national security interests, and instead saw their duty as unelected Mandarins to be a counterweight to the president himself.

Although a less interventionist foreign policy is broadly popular, the general feeling in Washington is still aptly summed up by this 2017 Newsweek op-ed, “We Should Permanently Post More U.S. Troops Abroad.” How do we go about this? Well, according to the research professor of national security studies and Gen. Douglas MacArthur chair of research at the Strategic Studies Institute, “the Defense Department should strive for a strong interagency consensus on the importance of increased forward presence…” Even now we still have troops in Syria, so it’s mission accomplished for the interagency consensus, I guess.

New Scandals for a New Era of Big Government

In this respect, a big reason Trump’s presidency is so scandalous is that Washington has a very simplistic and unenlightened idea of what scandals look like. The size and governing structure of the federal government have changed radically in the last half-century, and yet, we’re still attaching the suffix “gate” to every new scandal 45 years after Nixon’s resignation. It’s easy to imagine a conniving White House villain ordering others to commit crimes for political gain. It’s not so easy for anyone to understand even the benign machinations of the “interagency consensus,” much less how it abuses its power and covers it up.

Recall the IRS scandal from the Obama administration. One of the ways the scandal was repeatedly downplayed was with the claim there was no involvement from the White House. As far as we know, that’s true. But tell me, what scenario scares you more: The president allegedly uses his power to instigate the investigation of a political opponent and immediately gets confronted by whistleblowers from within the government?

Or is it when federal employees with the power to ruin your life launch a broad-based attack on thousands of ordinary participants in the political process who not-at-all-coincidentally happen to be small government advocates, and they do this of their own initiative without having to be told what to do by the president because everyone is marching in ideological lockstep? And they further do this secure in the knowledge the president will defend what they’ve done as “not a smidgen of corruption” and that when they destroy tens of thousands of potentially incriminating emails under congressional subpoena there’s not a thing their victims can do about it?

Working for Government Doesn’t Make You Above Elections

Indeed, at every turn opponents of Trump within the government have been defended, often not because what they’ve done is defensible, but because of the false belief that service in the federal government is automatically ennobling and ipso facto makes someone trustworthy. Indeed, the desperate need to defend an administrative state reads at times like fan fiction.

For example, here’s The New York Times: “They Are Not the Resistance. They Are Not a Cabal. They Are Public Servants. Let us now praise these not-silent heroes.” The media have spent more than a year cooing about the anonymous op-ed writer who bragged “I Am Part of the Resistance Inside the Trump Administration” even though it’s impossible to determine someone’s credibility without knowing who he is.

You’d think after years of portraying James Comey as the height of moral rectitude only to learn that he and the rest of the senior leadership at the FBI exhibited lots of demonstrably corrupt, even criminal behavior, the media and Trump opposition would disabuse themselves of the notion of the inherently righteous civil servant.

Or the fact that former CIA head John Brennan — a man who lied to Congress about spying on them and played a pivotal role in spreading the defamatory Steele dossier throughout the government to undermine Trump — is openly coordinating efforts to have current government officials undermine the president. And now, the recent revelation of the identity of the whistleblower who set the impeachment inquiry in motion — who was previously fingered for leaks to undermine Trump — raises all manner of questions about his motivations. But the most useful myths are the ones that persist, so precious few questions are being asked of the institutional resistance to Trump.

The Same Standards Should Apply to Everyone

None of this is to say that Vindman and the rest of Trump’s critics are necessarily wrong or Trump is obviously innocent. Even though I have little confidence in the fairness of the process so far, all Americans have a vested interest in the truth and I do hope the real facts come out during the impeachment inquiry. The political chips can then fall where they may.

But it’s also clear that Trump was elected in no small part because tens of millions of Americans do not approve of business as usual in Washington, and specifically the lack of democratic accountability that can be brought to bear on the status quo. And Trump is enough of a natural disruptor that he threatens that status quo in both good and questionable ways. In response, lots of people in D.C. are willing to bend the rules to stop him.

Further, long before Trump arrived there was so much institutional pressure and money sloshing around in the federal government, not mention the trips through the revolving door between already well-compensated federal jobs and even better compensated special interests. Any responsible person ought dispense with the idea that civil servants are always, well, civil. And they ought to apply the same level of appropriate scrutiny and suspicion to federal employees in the news as we do politicians. At least with politicians we have ourselves to blame, but nobody elects an “interagency consensus.”

White House Responds To Partisan Passage of House “Impeachment Inquiry” Resolution

The White House responds to Pelosi’s successful House vote authorizing rules of the ongoing impeachment inquiry.

(Reminder: opposition to the resolution was 
the only thing bipartisan about the vote.)


[White House] The President has done nothing wrong, and the Democrats know it. Nancy Pelosi and the Democrats’ unhinged obsession with this illegitimate impeachment proceeding does not hurt President Trump; it hurts the American people.
Instead of focusing on pressing issues that impact real families, like reducing gun violence, passing the USMCA, improving healthcare, lowering prescription drug costs, securing our southern border, and modernizing our aging infrastructure, the Democrats are choosing every day to waste time on a sham impeachment—a blatantly partisan attempt to destroy the President.
With today’s vote, Speaker Pelosi and the Democrats have done nothing more than enshrine unacceptable violations of due process into House rules. Speaker Pelosi, Chairman Schiff and the Democrats conducted secret, behind-closed-door meetings, blocked the Administration from participating, and have now voted to authorize a second round of hearings that still fails to provide any due process whatsoever to the Administration.
The Democrats want to render a verdict without giving the Administration a chance to mount a defense. That is unfair, unconstitutional, and fundamentally un-American. (LINK)


The Impeachment Schiff Show

Just as his impeachment drive is heating up, the California Democrat’s Ukrainian chimera is falling apart.



After preparing a failed bill of particulars against the president—Russian election collusion, porn star payoffs, income tax evasion, obstruction of justice, the Emoluments Clause, the 25th Amendment, the Charlottesville rally, the two Michaels (Avenatti and Cohen), Deutsche Bank, Alfa-Bank, and Orange Man Bad—Representative Adam Schiff (D-Calif.) finally has Trump dead-to-rights: A quid pro quo without the quid, the pro, or the quo.

The House of Representatives voted Thursday largely along party lines, with only two Democratic defectors, to begin impeachment proceedings against President Trump. Schiff, the chairman of the House Intelligence Committee, will manage the initial stage of the sham inquiry; hearings are expected to begin in a few weeks. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.), departing from tradition, handed off the impeachment grunt work to her most dependable grunt rather than to the House Judiciary Committee.

Pelosi pleaded the Democrats’ case on the morning of Hallowe’en, titillating her caucus of ghouls, witches, tramps, and thieves with tales about the scary monster in the White House. 

“Sadly, this is not any cause for any glee or comfort,” Pelosi assured her gleeful Democratic colleagues. “This is something very solemn, something prayerful.”
But ringing in the ears of every Democrat and NeverTrumper across the land were the iconic words of #TheResistance hero Rep. Rashida Talib (D-Mich.): “We’re gonna impeach the motherfucker!” You will recall that the freshman Democratic congresswoman from Michigan didn’t waste any time before uttering that profundity. She shouted it on January 4, 2019, just hours after she was sworn in.


Lies In Plain Sight

Now, in a fair and just world where lying scoundrels are dispatched either to the unemployment line or to the set of MSNBC, Schiff long ago would have experienced a swift exit from the halls of power. Schiff lied to the American people and to Congress for more than three years that he had circumstantial and significant and direct and in-plain-sight and clear evidence that the Trump campaign colluded with the Kremlin to throw the 2016 presidential election. 

Last month, he had to walk back his fake impersonation of President Trump after he made up the content and context of the hotly disputed phone call between Trump and Ukranian President Volodymyr Zelensky. He leaked nonpublic information to the news media to smear Team Trump, including the president’s son, and embarrassingly accepted a call from Russian pranksters who claimed to have naked photos of Donald Trump.
So, of course, Schiff is the perfect point man for a damaging, dishonest, and nakedly partisan crusade to oust the sitting president. 

Acting as if no one has been paying attention to him for the past few years—if only we could unsee his 3,074 appearances on CNN and “Meet the Press”—Schiff denied that he would relish his role as the president’s impeachment tormentor. “I do not take any pleasure in the events that have made this process necessary,” Schiff said from the House floor on Thursday morning, presumably with all of his toes and fingers crossed.

That’s funny because Schiff himself is the person responsible for manufacturing all of the events that now animate this charade, including the fabricated controversy about an alleged “quid pro quo” between Trump and Zelensky. Not coincidentally, the nub of Schiff’s current impeachment fever dream, Trump’s July 25 phone call with Zelensky, occurred one day after Special Counsel Robert Mueller’s disastrous testimony on Capitol Hill.


Whistleblower Follies

With the release of the flaccid Mueller report and a cringeworthy appearance by the doddering special counsel on July 24, Schiff’s fantasy of watching Robert Mueller haul Trump out of the Oval Office in handcuffs was gone. So Schiff scrambled to concoct another impeachment scheme: How the president withheld U.S. aid to Ukraine until the country’s new president agreed to investigate the son of Trump’s likeliest 2020 Democratic opponent. 

A courageous “whistleblower,” a dogged inspector general, a patriotic ambassador, and a decorated military hero would play starring roles in Schiff’s newest “Get Trump” drama. All of the key figures, we have been assured by Schiff’s toadies in the media, are of unassailable character—just brave Americans risking it all to protect the Constitution and whatnot from a lawless, corrupt president.

But just like Schiff’s repeated promises of evidence of Russian collusion, it’s all a ruse. Schiff’s staff met with the “whistleblower” in early August before the complaint was prepared even though Schiff denied it in an interview. 

But the “whistleblower” is not a concerned professional intelligence official, as he’s been portrayed in the press. He’s a Democratic Party operative. “Federal documents reveal that [Eric] Ciaramella, a registered Democrat held over from the Obama White House, previously worked with former Vice President Joe Biden and former CIA Director John Brennan, a vocal critic of Trump who helped initiate the Russia “collusion” investigation of the Trump campaign during the 2016 election,” according to Real Clear Investigation’s Paul Sperry. 

Ciaramella left the Trump White House in 2017 amid suspicions he was leaking information to the press; he ended up back at the CIA.


The Impeachment Narrative Is Falling Apart

Michael Atkinson, the Intelligence Community inspector general, also is an Obama holdover with clear ties to the Obama Justice Department’s probe into the Trump presidential campaign. As I wrote last month, Atkinson worked directly for two top Justice Department officials involved in the illicit investigation. Atkinson’s office also reworked their whistleblower form to validate Ciaramella’s hearsay complaint. Senator Tom Cotton (R-Ark.) calledAtkinson’s closed-door Senate testimony last month “insolent and obstructive.”

Bill Taylor, the acting ambassador to Ukraine who also has testified about his concerns regarding the Trump-Zelensky conversation, met with Schiff’s staff in late August in Ukraine as Schiff was hatching the “whistleblower” scandal. Taylor sent a text to his EU counterpart on September 9, claiming it was “crazy to withhold security assistance for help with a political campaign,” a charge his colleague quickly rejected. That text, coincidentally, was sent the same day Atkinson sent his letter to Schiff about a dispute over the “whistleblower” report. (Trump’s White House released the aid on September 11.)

The latest hero, Lt. Colonel Alexander Vindman, the National Security Council’s Ukranian expert, attempted to edit the call’s transcript. Vindman also admitted he shared copies of that transcript with several people, a potential violation of federal law since the document is classified government material. 

Vindman has his own ties to the Obama White House: He worked with former U.S. Ambassador Mike McFaul, one of the authors of Obama’s Russian “reset” policy. 
“I served with [Vindman] in the U.S. Embassy in Moscow, where he was everything you would want in a military attaché: smart, knowledgeable about the country, fluent in Russian and absolutely dedicated to the mission of advancing U.S. national interests,” McFaul cooed in an October 30 Washington Post column. 

McFaul was sworn in by his boss, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, in 2012 and was an Obama confidant even after he left his post in 2014. McFaul also is friends with former Russian ambassador Sergey Kislyak, a central figure in the Russia collusion hoax.

So just as his impeachment drive is heating up, Schiff’s Ukrainian chimera is falling apart. Further, the transcript of Trump’s phone call is public; the funds were released to Ukraine nearly two months ago. Public opinion is almost evenly split among voters who believe Trump should be impeached over the call; those who think he did nothing wrong; and voters who want the House to stop investigating the president altogether.

But none of this matters to the California Democrat who, unfortunately, the American people will see a lot more of over the next several weeks. The Schiff Show is here, whether we like it or not.

RNC: Impeachment revolt adding money, volunteers, and even Democrats



The Democratic push for impeachment of President Trump is boosting the  GOP base, padding already record-breaking donations, and even luring in some Democrats dissatisfied with their party’s actions, according to top officials.

“The longer this goes, we are seeing more and more voters shift to supporting the president and recognizing that this is a totally partisan endeavor by the Democrats,” said Republican National Committee Chairwoman Ronna McDaniel.

“At every level, we have increased our share of people who want to contribute and invest,” she told Secrets in advance of this weekend’s test of the 2020 GOP get out the vote effort.

While it is a contrarian view, she also released some polling to back up what the party is experiencing. For example, since the impeachment proceedings started, Trump's approval ratings in 17 key states have increased 3 points, and some 70% believe it is about "politics" and would like congressional Democrats to focus on healthcare, trade, and the economy.

 


Officials said that during the National Week of Action, Nov. 1-5, some 75,000 new volunteers and the RNC’s staff in all states would test the 2020 blueprint to contact voters and get them to the polls to vote for Trump.

The new volunteers came into the party through its “Stop the Madness Campaign” focused on fighting impeachment and Trump rallies.

McDaniel said that the rallies are especially helpful in bringing in new voters. She said that 7%-10% of those attending Trump campaign rallies have not voted in four or more of the past elections, and 30% are self-declared Democrats.

“These are new people who are coming out. They haven’t always voted Republican and haven’t always voted,” she told Secrets.

The testing in 50 states of the get out the vote program “helps us ensure our field team is battle-tested and ready to go — ready to reelect POTUS and support every GOP candidate on the ballot,” said a party official, who added, “Turning out the vote next November requires a well-organized national operation put into place well before the election. This is where the RNC/Trump campaign is lapping the Democrats on every front: organizing, fundraising, volunteer training, voter registration.”

McDaniel said that the results would also be “vetted.” For example, if a volunteer reports knocking on 100 doors, the party will be able to verify that.

“We’ll be testing our volunteers’ capabilities one year out, providing metrics and goals for phone calls, door-knocking, and voter contact in each state we’re in,” said the official.

“This is a critical way we will grow support for all GOP candidates up and down the ballot once we move into the voter contact phase,” the official added.

The Impeachment Succession

Democrats are not, as they claim, “reluctant” to be putting the country through this. Furthermore, this is not a serious matter, it just seems that way when compared to their utterly ridiculous previous attempts.



"IMPEACHMENT FLOOR VOTE RECAP" 


Impeachment #1
December 6, 2017

58 Dems voted to advance impeachment for the "high crime" of dissing NFL anthem protests

Impeachment #2
January 19, 2018

66 Dems voted to advance impeachment for the "high crime" of saying s-hole countries

Impeachment #3
July 17, 2019

95 Dems voted to advance impeachment for the "high crime" of insulting The Squad

Impeachment #4
October ??, 2019

House refuses to vote on this one, but is instead conducting it in secret in the House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence.

Because, you know, you can't just rush an impeachment floor vote. It is a super serious matter.

POLL: Which Democratic impeachment of President Trump is the stupidest?

Jim McGovern is managing the floor debate on the latest impeachment. Says the Dems take themselves seriously. He voted for all three of the previous joke impeachments.
Hakeem Jeffries speaking now. Says he's fighting for democracy. Jeffries previously voted to impeach for the high crime of allegedly saying s-hole countries.

Schiff says he supports the impeachment resolution expanding his power but "takes no pleasure in it."

Has a bigger lie ever been told?

Rep. Norma Torres: "Impeachment is not something we take lightly."

In July she voted to impeach Trump for insulting The Squad.

Rep. Mark DeSaulnier speaking.

He voted for all three joke impeachments.

Rep. Jerry Nadler: "I support this resolution because it is the solemn duty of the Congress to investigate serious allegations against the president."

In July he voted to impeach Trump for tweets about The Squad.

Rep. Eliot Engel speaking now, in mortal fear of a socialist primary.

He voted all three previous times to impeach the president for the high crimes of insulting NFL players, allegedly saying s-hole countries, and tweeting about The Squad.

Rep. Maxine Waters: "I look forward to Democrats and Republicans alike prioritizing country over party."

She voted three previous times to impeach the president for the high crimes of insulting NFL players, allegedly saying s-hole countries, and tweeting about The Squad.

Rep. Eric Swalwell saying he supports due process. LOL. In July he voted to impeach Trump for tweets about The Squad.

Rep Joe Neguse: "This is a serious and solemn day for our country."

In July he voted to impeach Trump for tweets about The Squad.

Rep. Brendan Boyle: "I did not come here to launch an impeachment process, however, the facts demand it."

In July he voted to impeach Trump for tweets about The Squad.
Rep David Cicciline: "The president's conduct has forced this action."

In July he voted to impeach Trump for tweets about The Squad.

Rep. Jim McGovern, closing debate: "The allegations are as serious as it gets."

He voted three previous times to impeach the president for the high crimes of insulting NFL players, allegedly saying s-hole countries, and tweeting about The Squad.

Impeachment #4
October 31, 2019

231 Dems and Justin Amash voted to authorize the existing impeachment investigations. 

All Rs and two Dems voted no. No charge specified. 

Is anybody in the press noting that 40% of the House Democrats trumpeting their serious, solemn, deliberative impeachment process already voted to advance articles of impeachment in July over tweets about The Squad?

Seems a bit dissonant.


A stunning confession from a Deep State member subverting the constitutional republic


 Article by Thomas Lifson in "The American Thinker":

The arrogance and lack of self-awareness among the mandarins that inhabit the top levels of our government bureaucracies has led to a smoking gun-level confession. Rather than respecting the will of the voters who elect a president, they proudly substitute their own policy preferences and think nothing of conspiring to drive from office the person who holds legitimate authority to make policy and conduct the affairs of government.

A confession from a man who formerly ran the CIA came Wednesday at an event sponsored by a friendly organization, the Michael V. Hayden Center and Schar School of Policy and Government at George Mason University. Former CIA Acting Director John McLaughlin was among friends who share the same seditious outlook, speaking on a panel discussion, with CIA Director John Brennan, former FBI Deputy Director Andrew McCabe, and former CIA Deputy Director Michael Morell. With everyone sharing the same assumptions, McLaughlin apparently let down his guard and committed a “Kinsley gaffe” – accidentally telling the incriminating truth.

Chuck Ross of the Daily Caller describes what I call his confession, responding to a question from the moderator:

“There is something unique you have to agree that now the impeachment inquiry is underway, sparked by a complaint from someone within the intelligence community, it feeds the president’s concern, an often used term about a ‘deep state’ being there to take him out,” Margaret Brennan, the moderator for the event, asked McLaughlin.
“Thank God for the ‘deep state,'” replied the former spook, who served as acting director at the CIA in 2004.
Laughter and applause greeted this endorsement of “tak[ing] out” an elected president.
McLaghin kept on digging when the applause died down:
“Everyone here has seen this progression of diplomats and intelligence officers and White House people trooping up to Capitol Hill right now and saying these are doing their duty and responding to a higher call,” said McLaughlin, who has also served as CIA deputy director.
“With all of the people who knew what was going on here, it took an intelligence officer to step forward and say something about it, which was the trigger that then unleashed everything else,” he said.
Consider for a moment the implications of his term “higher call.” Rather than obey the Constitution’s grant of power over the executive branch to the president, a subordinate official claims the right to subvert lawfully ordered policies because he disagrees with them, and to conspire to engineer his ouster from office. In essence, he is claiming that his former agency, the CIA, has the right to make and carry out policy regardless of what the elected officials chosen by voters want. This is not the constitutional republic, but rather a dictatorship of unaccountable bureaucrats.

This is precisely the attitude taken by McLaughlin’s counterparts in the FBI, Comey, McCabe, and Strzok among others. It is sedition.

McLaughlin puts the lie to the claims of many progressive politicians and journalists that the notion of a deep state is a “nutty conspiracy theory.”

Watch and fear for the future of our republic, unless deep state conspirators are prosecuted for their crimes.

 https://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2019/11/a_stunning_confession_from_a_deep_state_member_subverting_the_constitutional_republic.html

 Image result for cartoons about the bureaucratic state

The Morning Briefing: Impeachment and a House Divided Perhaps Forever

Article by Stephen Kruiser in "PJMedia":

If, as the great Abraham Lincoln once said, "A house divided against itself cannot stand," then the American experiment may well and truly be hosed.

The House finally got around to making the latest witch hunt formal, voting mostly along party lines to move the impeachment inquiry forward.

I use to be one of those "Hey, we survived the Civil War, we'll get through this" optimists when it came to America's future. This past year may not have killed that optimism, but it has worn it down a bit.

There isn't an adult of sound mind in this country who sees all of this playing out in a way that sees a bunch of Republicans finally deciding that the president needs to go or the Democrats finally admitting defeat in their attempts to prematurely oust him.

Face it, we don't like each other much anymore, the Right and Left in America. We've been heading towards this for a while. I blame Hillary Clinton, partially because she's so adept at being unlikeable, but mostly because I believe she is more than likely Satan's latest incarnation on Earth.

Just my opinion.

Granny Maojackets has spent the last three years fortifying herself with boxes of Franzia and remaining in the public eye to make sure Democrats continue to believe that the result of the 2016 election was illegitimate.

Her flying monkeys in the mainstream media have made sure that the message keeps buzzing in the air.

They are all responsible for creating this permanently dysfunctional family atmosphere in the U.S. and Thanksgiving dinners will never be the same again.

The Democrats could remove Trump from office tomorrow and they wouldn't be happy. Liberals are never happy.

They could take the White House back next year and not be satisfied because see above.
Here on the Right, we've all been called violent Nazis one too many times to just want to make nice with our accusers.

It's a mess, people.

Next year's election was going to be more contentious than usual anyway. Now, this impeachment drama will add an extra helping of dislike on each side just to turn the emo dial up to 11.

Perhaps the best way to navigate these turbulent waters is to greatly modify expectations, which is a coping mechanism I've found to be most useful as I've gotten older. Rather than hope I can get along with a lot of liberals I'll just take it on a case-by-case basis and hope I can find a few who don't irritate me too much.

Starting with the ones who like whiskey.


 Image result for cartoons for a house divided

Debunking some of the Ukraine scandal myths about Biden and election interference



There is a long way to go in the impeachment process, and there are some very important issues still to be resolved. But as the process marches on, a growing number of myths and falsehoods are being spread by partisans and their allies in the news media.

The early pattern of misinformation about Ukraine, Joe Biden and election interference mirrors closely the tactics used in late 2016 and early 2017 to build the false and now-debunked narrative that Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin colluded to hijack the 2016 election.

Facts do matter. And they prove to be stubborn evidence, even in the midst of a political firestorm. So here are the facts (complete with links to the original materials) debunking some of the bigger fables in the Ukraine scandal.

Myth: There is no evidence the Democratic National Committee sought Ukraine’s assistance during the 2016 election.

The Facts: The Ukrainian embassy in Washington confirmed to me this past April that a Democratic National Committee contractor named Alexandra Chalupa did, in fact, solicit dirt on Donald Trump and Paul Manafort during the spring of 2016 in hopes of spurring a pre-election congressional hearing into the Trump campaign’s ties to Russia. The embassy also stated Chalupa tried to get Ukraine’s president at the time, Petro Poroshenko, to do an interview on Manafort with an American investigative reporter working on the issue. The embassy said it turned down both requests.

You can read the Ukraine embassy’s statement here. The statement essentially confirmed a January 2017 investigative article in Politico that first raised concerns about Chalupa’s contacts with the embassy. 

Chalupa’s activities involving Ukraine were further detailed in a May 2016 email published by WikiLeaks in which she reported to DNC officials on her efforts to dig up dirt on Manafort and Trump. You can read that email here.

Myth: There is no evidence that Ukrainian government officials tried to influence the American presidential election in 2016.

The Facts: There are two documented episodes involving Ukrainian government officials’ efforts to influence the 2016 American presidential election. The first occurred in Ukraine, where a court last December ruled that a Parliamentary member and a senior Ukrainian law enforcement official improperly tried to influence the U.S. election by releasing financial records in spring and summer 2016 from an investigation into Trump campaign chairman Paul Manafort’s lobbying activities. The publicity from the release of the so-called Black Ledger documents forced Manafort to resign. You can read that ruling here.

While that court ruling since has been set aside on a jurisdiction technicality, the facts of the released information are not in dispute.

The second episode occurred on U.S. soil back in August 2016 when Ukraine’s then-ambassador to Washington, Valeriy Chaly, took the extraordinary step of writing an OpEd in The Hill criticizing GOP nominee Donald Trump and his views on Russia just three months before Election Day. You can read that OpEd here.

Chaly later told me through his spokeswoman that he wasn’t writing the OpEd for political purposes but rather to address his country’s geopolitical interests. But his article, nonetheless, was viewed by many in career diplomatic circles as running contrary to the Geneva Convention’s rules barring diplomats from becoming embroiled in the host country’s political affairs. And it clearly adds to the public perception that Ukraine’s government at the time preferred Hillary Clinton over Trump in the 2016 election.

Myth: The allegation that Joe Biden tried to fire the Ukrainian prosecutor investigating his son Hunter Biden’s Ukrainian gas firm employer has been debunked, and there is no evidence the ex-vice president did anything improper.

The Facts: Joe Biden is captured on  videotape bragging about his effort to strong-arm Ukraine’s president into firing Prosecutor General Viktor Shokin. Biden told a foreign policy group in early 2018 that he used the threat of withholding $1 billion in U.S. aid to Kiev to successfully force Shokin’s firing. You can watch Biden’s statement here.

It also is not in dispute that at the time he forced the firing, the vice president’s office knew Shokin was investigating Burisma Holdings, the company where Hunter Biden worked as a board member and consultant. Team Biden was alerted to the investigation in a December 2015 New York Times article. You can read that article here.

The unresolved question is what motivated Joe Biden to seek Shokin’s ouster. Biden says he took the action solely because the U.S. and Western allies believed Shokin was ineffective in fighting corruption. Shokin told me, ABC News and others that he was fired because Joe Biden was unhappy that the Burisma investigation was not shut down. He made similar statements in an affidavit prepared to be filed in an European court. You can read that affidavit here.

In the end, though, whether Joe Biden had good or bad intentions in getting Shokin fired is somewhat irrelevant to the question of the vice president’s ethical obligation. 

U.S. ethics rules require all government officials to avoid even the appearance of a conflict of interest in taking official actions. Ethics experts I talked with say Biden should have recused himself from the Shokin matter once he learned about the Burisma investigation to avoid the appearance issue. 

And a senior U.S. diplomat was quoted in testimony reported by The Washington Post earlier this month that he tried to raise warnings with Biden’s VP office in 2015 that Hunter Biden’s role at the Ukrainian firm raised the potential issue of conflicts of interest.

Myth: Ukraine’s investigation into Burisma Holdings was no longer active when Joe Biden forced Shokin’s firing in March 2016.

The Facts: This is one of the most egregiously false statements spread by the media. Ukraine’s official case file for Burisma Holdings, provided to me by prosecutors, shows there were two active investigations into the gas firm and its founder Mykola Zlochevsky in early 2016, one involving corruption allegations and the other involving unpaid taxes.

In fact, Shokin told me in an interview he was making plans to interview Burisma board members, including Hunter Biden, at the time he was fired. And it was publicly reported that in February 2016, a month before Shokin was fired, that Ukrainian prosecutors raided one of Zlochevsky’s homes and seized expensive items like a luxury car as part of the corruption probe. You can read a contemporaneous news report about the seizure here

Burisma’s own legal activities also clearly show the investigations were active at the time Shokin was fired. Internal emails I obtained from the American legal team representing Burisma show that on March 29, 2016 – the very day Shokin was fired – Burisma lawyer John Buretta was seeking a meeting with Shokin’s temporary replacement in hopes of settling the open cases.

In May 2016 when new Prosecutor General Yuriy Lutsenko was appointed, Buretta then sent a letter to the new prosecutor seeking to resolve the investigations of Burisma  and Zlochevsky. You can read that letter here.

Buretta eventually gave a February 2017 interview to the Kiev Post in which he divulged that the corruption probe was resolved in fall 2016 and the tax case by early January 2017.  You can read Buretta’s interview here.

In another words, the Burisma investigations were active at the time Vice President Biden forced Shokin’s firing, and any suggestion to the contrary is pure misinformation.

Myth: There is no evidence Vice President Joe Biden did anything to encourage Burisma’s hiring of his son Hunter.

The Facts: This is another area where the public facts cry out for more investigation and raise a question in some minds about another appearance of a conflict of interest.

Hunter Biden’s business partner, Devon Archer, was appointed to Burisma’s board in mid-April 2014 and the firm Rosemont Seneca Bohai — jointly owned by Hunter Biden and Devon Archer — received its first payments from the Ukrainian gas company on April 15, 2014, according to the company’s ledgers. That very same day as the first Burisma payment, Devon Archer met with Joe Biden at the White House, according to White House visitor logs. It is not known what the two discussed.

A week later, Joe Biden traveled to Ukraine and met with then-Ukrainian Prime Minister Arseniy Yatsenyuk. During that meeting, the American vice president urged Ukraine to ramp up energy production to free itself from its Russian natural gas dependence. Biden even boasted that “an American team is currently in the region working with Ukraine and its neighbors to increase Ukraine’s short-term energy supply.” Yatsenyuk welcomed the help from American “investors” in modernizing natural gas supply lines in Ukraine. You can read the Biden-Yatsenyuk transcript here.

Less than three weeks later, Burisma added Hunter Biden to its board to join Archer. To some, the sequence of events creates the appearance that Joe Biden’s pressure to increase Ukrainian gas supply and to urge Kiev to rely on Americans might have led Burisma to hire his son. More investigation needs to be done to determine exactly what happened. And until that occurs, the appearance issue will likely linger over this episode.

Myth: Hunter Biden’s firm only received $50,000 a month for his work as a board member and consultant for Burisma Holdings.

The Facts: This figure frequently cited by Biden defenders and the media significantly understates what Burisma was paying Hunter Biden’s Rosemont Seneca Bohai firm for his and Devon Archer’s services. Bank records obtained by the FBI in an unrelated case show that between May 2014 and the end of 2015, Hunter Biden’s and Archer’s firm received monthly consulting payments totaling $166,666, or three times the amount cited by the media. In some months, there was even more money than that paid. You can review those bank records here

The monthly payments figures are confirmed by the accounting ledger that Burisma turned over to Ukrainian prosecutors. That ledger, which you can read here, also shows that in spring and summer of 2014 Burisma paid more than $283,000 to the American law firm of Boies Schiller, where Hunter Biden also worked as an attorney. 

Myth: President Trump was trying to force Ukraine to reopen a probe into Burisma Holdings and its founder Mykola Zlochevsky when he talked to Ukraine’s new president, Volodymyr Zelensky, in July of this year.

The Facts: Trump could not have forced the Ukrainians into opening a new Burisma investigation in July because the Ukrainian Prosecutor General’s office had already done so on March 28, 2019, or three months before the call. 

The prosecutors filed this notice of suspicion in Ukraine announcing the re-opening of the investigation. The revival of the case was even widely reported in the Ukrainian press, something U.S. intelligence and diplomats who are now testifying to Congress behind closed doors should have known. Here’s an example of one such Ukrainian media report at the time.

Myth: Former Ukrainian Prosecutor General Yuriy Lutsenko retracted or recanted his claim that U.S. Ambassador to Ukraine Marie Yovanovitch in 2016 identified people and entities she did not what to see prosecuted in Ukraine.

The Facts: In a March interview with me at Hill.TV captured on videotape, Lutsenko stated that during his first meeting with Yovanovitch in summer 2016, the American diplomat rattled off a list of names of Ukrainian individuals and entities she did not want to see investigated or prosecuted. Lutsenko called it a “do not prosecute” list. You can watch that video here. The State Department disputed his characterization as a fabrication, which Hill.TV reported in its original report.

A few weeks later, a Ukrainian news outlet claimed it interviewed Lutsenko and he backed off his assertion about the list. Several American outlets have since picked up that same language.

There is just one problem. I re-interviewed Lutsenko after the Ukrainian report suggesting he recanted. He adamantly denied recanting, retracting or changing his story, and said the Ukrainian newspaper simply misunderstood that the list of names were conveyed orally during the meeting and not in writing, just like he said in the original Hill.TV interview.

Here is Lutsenko’s full explanation to me back last spring: “At no time since our interview have I ever retracted the statement I made about the U.S. ambassador providing me a list of names of people and organizations she did not want my office to prosecute. Shortly after my televised interview with your news organization I was asked by a Ukraine reporter if I had a copy of the letter that Ambassador Yovanovitch provided me with the names of those she did not want prosecuted. The reporter misunderstood how the names were transmitted to me. I explained to the reporter that the Ambassador did not hand me a written list but rather provided the list of names orally over the course of a meeting.” Lutsenko reaffirmed he stood by his statements again in September.

It is important to note Lutsenko’s story was also backed up by State Department officials and contemporaneous memos before his interview was ever aired. For instance, a senior U.S. official I interviewed for the Lutsenko story reviewed the list of names that Lutsenko recalled being on the so-called do-not-prosecute list. 

That official stated during the interview: ““I can confirm to you that at least some of those names are names that U.S. embassy Kiev raised with the Prosecutor General’s office because we were concerned about retribution and unfair treatment of Ukrainians viewed as favorable to the United States.”

Separately, both U.S. and Ukrainian official confirmed to me a letter written by then-U.S. embassy official George Kent in April 2016 in which U.S. officials pointedly (and in writing) demanded that Ukrainian prosecutors stand down an investigation into several Ukrainian nonprofit groups suspected of misspending U.S. foreign aid. The letter even named one of the groups, the AntiCorruption Action Centre, a nonprofit funded jointly by the State Department and liberal megadonor George Soros.

“We are gravely concerned about this investigation, for which we see no basis,” Kent wrote the Ukrainian prosecutor’s office in April 2016. You can read the letter here

So even without Lutsenko’s claim, there is substantial evidence that the U.S. embassy in Kiev applied pressure on Ukrainian prosecutors not to pursue certain investigations in 2016.   

Myth: The narratives about Biden, the U.S. embassy and Ukrainian election interference are conspiracy theories invented by Donald Trump’s personal lawyer, former Mayor Rudy Giuliani, to impact the 2020 election.

The Facts: Giuliani began investigating matters in Ukraine in late fall 2018 as a personal lawyer to the president. But months before his quest began, Ukrainian prosecutors believed they possessed evidence about Burisma, the Bidens and 2016 election interference that might interest the U.S. Justice Department. It is the same evidence that came to light this spring and summer and that is now a focus of the impeachment proceedings.

Originally, one of Ukraine’s senior prosecutors tried to secure a visa to come to the United States to deliver that evidence. But when the U.S. embassy in Kiev did not fulfill his travel request, the group of Ukrainian prosecutors used an intermediary to hire a former U.S. attorney in America to reach out to the U.S. attorney office in New York and try to arrange a transfer of the evidence. The Ukrainian prosecutors’ story about making the overture to the DOJ was independently verified by the American lawyer they hired.

So the activities and allegation now at the heart of impeachment actually pre-date Giuliani starting work on Ukraine. You can read the prosecutors’ account of their 2018 effort to get this information to Americans here.